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Alduflux

Booster 2023-24
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Posts posted by Alduflux

  1. 4 hours ago, TigerFan20 said:

    Massey Ratings:

    North Posey at Mater Dei (-15), 81% chance of victory for the Cats

    I'm guessing MD is the best 3-7 2A team in the state, but they are 3-7 for a reason.  This isn't last year's team.  It should be MD +15.

    4 hours ago, TigerFan20 said:

    Massey Ratings:

    Castle at New Albany (-36), 99% chance of victory for the Knights

     

    I think it is actually Castle -36

  2. 3 hours ago, TigerFan20 said:

    THROUGH WEEK9/REGULAR SEASON

     

    Team Offensive YPG 

    1. Bosse 461.0 YPG

    2. Reitz 382.4  YPG

    Team Offensive Passing YPG 

    1. Bosse 232.1 YPG

    2. Reitz 184.7 YPG

    Team Offensive Rushing YPG

    1. Jasper 294.6 YPG

    2. Bosse 228.8 YPG

     

     

    It's hard to believe a team with these numbers only wins three games.  I really wish they were still in 3a.

  3. 3 hours ago, Screagle said:

    I don’t see many schools in either PAC division outside of HH, GS, and maybe SR that would look for games vs the top half.  

    The recent history for those schools is SR beats Linton four years in a row, loses year five, then has them replaced with Washington.

    HH replaces VL with MD (a big upgrade at the time), loses two years in a row, then replaces them with Mt. Vernon.

    I've never gotten an answer as to why either series ended.  (SR v Linton, HH v MD)  Both seamed to make sense from a schedule and competitive standpoint. 

    In the new PAC most non-conference games are cross division.  The only non-PAC games with 3a or larger schools are Washington vs Edgewood (4a) and Tell City vs Hancock County (3a if they were Indiana), and GS vs IMG acadamy.

    • Haha 3
  4. 21 hours ago, oldtimeqb said:

    PS - If you haven't read the article in the C&P by @kylesokeland regarding the closed nature of SIAC football scheduling, I highly recommend it. 

    I prefer competitive scheduling and conference alignments should always be reevaluated to encourage it.  The article touches on aspect of that. 

    The article suggests big match-ups between SIAC, PAC, and Indy schools could happen if the conference wasn't closed.  I agree, that could happen.  But considering it basically rarely or never happened prior to a closed conference, I'm not sure why it would happen if the conference opened up.

  5. The conference Sagarin ratings are particularly odd this year.  Typically the conference is drastically overvalued or undervalued before being connected during round one.  This year the conference is overvalued.  Currently the conference has 8 of the top 10 ranked teams in the state on predictor with only the SIAC wanna-be's Brownsburg and Center Grove rounding out the top 10.

    Typically the in conference Sagarin rankings match closely the actual standings.  This year that did not happen at the top.  I don't understand this at all but I suspect Sagarin might have wrong game results for North or Reitz to account for them being switched in the rankings.

    I included the final 2022 standings after state.  I expect the final ratings after state to place Reitz in the 20's and the 6-3 second place teams to be in the 30-60 range.

                       
                       
                       
                       
     
    SIAC 2023 standings after week 9
    CONF.
    RANK
    STATE
    RANK
    TEAM OVERALL
    RATING
    SCHEDULE
    STRENGTH RANK
    RECENT
    RATING   RANK
    PREDICTOR
    RATING   RANK
    1 9 Evansville North 93.52 75.95 27 84.45 23 114.48 2
    2 11 Evansville Reitz 92.59 74.86 28 82.39 28 119.82 1
    3 14 Jasper 86.77 76.19 26 76.23 38 108.85 4
    4 28 Castle 82.70 76.52 25 70.75 52 110.62 3
    5 33 Evansville Memorial 79.11 76.90 24 66.19 70 106.86 6
    6 35 Vincennes Lincoln 77.87 77.55 23 64.47 80 108.72 5
    7 41 Evansville Bosse 74.91 77.84 22 61.74 87 101.13 7
    8 46 Evansville Mater Dei 73.84 78.42 19 61.30 90 97.21 10
    9 136 Evansville Harrison 51.95 79.92 17 28.98 224 79.06 32
    10 170 Evansville Central 44.54 79.92 18 17.13 256 69.56 55
                   
     

     

                   
     
    2022 SIAC  Final standings after state.
    CONF.
    RANK
    STATE
    RANK
    TEAM OVERALL
    RATING
    SCHEDULE
    STRENGTH RANK
    RECENT
    RATING   RANK
    PREDICTOR
    RATING   RANK
    1 37 Evansville Mater Dei 76.26 57.90 83 81.93 31 70.42 61
    2 43 Evansville Reitz 75.01 58.31 82 72.52 50 75.39 42
    3 48 Evansville Memorial 73.26 62.46 63 77.21 38 69.33 64
    4 49 Castle 73.26 62.61 62 77.15 39 69.27 66
    5 64 Jasper 69.63 62.86 60 74.50 46 64.16 81
    6 87 Evansville North 62.38 61.38 70 61.91 90 62.48 89
    7 97 Vincennes Lincoln 59.97 64.10 55 58.30 103 63.28 87
    8 158 Evansville Harrison 47.41 63.79 56 47.19 156 46.84 158
    9 199 Evansville Bosse 37.42 65.59 52 40.46 188 33.44 211
    10 243 Evansville Central 26.15 66.42 48 24.67 246 27.32 240
                 

     

     

     

                   
                       
                       
  6. 27 minutes ago, TigerFan20 said:

    Regular season Standings- Final

    1. Reitz 9-0

    2. Jasper  6-3

    3. Castle 6-3

    4. Memorial 6-3

    5. Vincennes 6-3

    6. North 6-3

    7. Bosse 3-6

    8. Mater Dei 2-7

    9. Harrison 1-8

    10. Central 0-9

    2nd straight year for Reitz winning the SIAC by 3 games 

    I fixed it for you

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