hhpatriot04 Posted September 3, 2019 Share Posted September 3, 2019 Hello Community, I've revived the Indiana High School Football Game Predictor Tool that strictly uses Jeff Sagarin's predictor rating and the option of factoring in homefield advantage. Keep in mind that Sagarin only uses direct data from Indiana teams vs. other Indiana teams (no out-of-state games). For improvements, please let me know in this thread if you find errors in computation or otherwise or layout or if you have general feature requests/improvements. Enjoy! Win probability (percentage) is added. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoIndRef Posted September 3, 2019 Share Posted September 3, 2019 Thanks!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mebuck Posted September 22, 2019 Share Posted September 22, 2019 Thank you for sharing this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Staxawax Posted September 22, 2019 Share Posted September 22, 2019 South Adams (71.79) is a 2-point favorite (1.51-point home-field advantage) against Homestead (68.32) Perfect! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BendNotBreak Posted October 29, 2019 Share Posted October 29, 2019 On 9/22/2019 at 1:46 AM, Staxawax said: South Adams (71.79) is a 2-point favorite (1.51-point home-field advantage) against Homestead (68.32) Perfect! Homestead is now a 35pt fav over South Adams...... 🤫 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hhpatriot04 Posted March 22, 2020 Author Share Posted March 22, 2020 I am thinking of using Sagarin's ratings to show the percentage that Team A beats Team B (perhaps with a guessed score and future projections using scoring averages)... Any interest in that? Also, does anyone have a degree in statistiics or finite math? If so, please message or post here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hhpatriot04 Posted August 17, 2020 Author Share Posted August 17, 2020 No idea how the cancellations will affect the rankings. Out-of-state games were never counted, but now it will take until Week 5-6 for all teams in the state to be "connected" and Sagarin's ratings to be relevant, IMO. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mebuck Posted August 20, 2020 Share Posted August 20, 2020 It won't open for me. Is it down? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
itiswhatitis Posted August 21, 2020 Share Posted August 21, 2020 Just exactly where is this thing? I can't find it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hhpatriot04 Posted August 24, 2020 Author Share Posted August 24, 2020 I let the subscription to the host server lapse. Let me see if I can find another free one (needs PHP & MYSQL), or if @DK_Barons can setup up gridirondigest.net/predictor like we used to. I appreciate the interest, but likely until Week 6 this year, Sagarin's rankings will be pretty much useless because of all the cancellations, thus it'll take a few more weeks to get all the teams in the state "connected," which is when his ratings become increasingly trustworthly. Who knows, if unfortunately the tournament doesn't happen for some reason, we may need some TGD junkies to simulate what the tournaments would look like... Back to the pre-tournament, polling days. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NPCougarNation Posted August 26, 2020 Share Posted August 26, 2020 For some reason I cannot access the link to the tool. Can you send it in a reply? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stryker Posted September 14, 2020 Share Posted September 14, 2020 Any luck reviving this? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NPCougarNation Posted September 14, 2020 Share Posted September 14, 2020 2 hours ago, stryker said: Any luck reviving this? No luck Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hhpatriot04 Posted September 16, 2020 Author Share Posted September 16, 2020 On 9/14/2020 at 3:09 AM, stryker said: Any luck reviving this? In communications with DK, hope to have time this weekend to work on it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dazed and confused Posted September 26, 2020 Share Posted September 26, 2020 ..... still not working.... for me anyhows Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hhpatriot04 Posted September 27, 2020 Author Share Posted September 27, 2020 13 hours ago, dazed and confused said: ..... still not working.... for me anyhows There's progress... Although, I was quite sick this weekend and not able to work on it. http://predictor.gridirondigest.net (Yes I know it's not functional) Quick hint: Just go to Sagarin's website, use the predictor value of both teams and find the difference. That is all this little script is doing (you can add in the home field advantage which varies every week if you want) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dazed and confused Posted September 27, 2020 Share Posted September 27, 2020 22 minutes ago, hhpatriot04 said: There's progress... Although, I was quite sick this weekend and not able to work on it. http://predictor.gridirondigest.net (Yes I know it's not functional) Quick hint: Just go to Sagarin's website, use the predictor value of both teams and find the difference. That is all this little script is doing (you can add in the home field advantage which varies every week if you want) Thanks hh ! Thanks for the hint but JH already does that in his game capsules for upcoming games I believe Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hhpatriot04 Posted September 27, 2020 Author Share Posted September 27, 2020 1 hour ago, dazed and confused said: Thanks hh ! Thanks for the hint but JH already does that in his game capsules for upcoming games I believe Is it different than the "JH Prediction?" I haven't figured that one out yet, but it definitely doesn't strictly use Sagarin's ratings -- or in the way my predictor does/did/will. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tango Posted October 17, 2020 Share Posted October 17, 2020 On 9/27/2020 at 9:30 AM, hhpatriot04 said: Is it different than the "JH Prediction?" I haven't figured that one out yet, but it definitely doesn't strictly use Sagarin's ratings -- or in the way my predictor does/did/will. JH has his own calculation. I saw a tweet referring to it a few weeks back. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hhpatriot04 Posted September 7, 2022 Author Share Posted September 7, 2022 The predictor tool is back. Sorry for any inconvenience. Let me know if you find any bugs (typically because of team names). 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hhpatriot04 Posted September 16, 2022 Author Share Posted September 16, 2022 Win probability (percentage) is added. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hhpatriot04 Posted September 21, 2022 Author Share Posted September 21, 2022 What feature would you like to see first: 1. Project games across seasons? 2. Projections for every game each week? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esso Ayche Posted October 4, 2022 Share Posted October 4, 2022 On 9/21/2022 at 1:17 PM, hhpatriot04 said: What feature would you like to see first: 1. Project games across seasons? 2. Projections for every game each week? First preference, with absolutely the bare minimum of thought behind it: Project across seasons. Second and foremost: Projections for every game each week. But I could be persuaded to flip those choices like a White Castle slider on a hot griddle in Hell. (Sorry, been a long week today and I'm already getting punch-drunk. I don't even know what that last sentence means beyond, "Eh, either would be cool.") Unsolicited advice: If you're like me, you tackle the easy one first and get it almost done to then abandon it and dig in heavily into the one you haven't started yet until you have two that aren't done. That's just me, you do you. (Again, see above re: long week today.) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mebuck Posted November 7, 2022 Share Posted November 7, 2022 The link is not working. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hhpatriot04 Posted November 7, 2022 Author Share Posted November 7, 2022 16 minutes ago, Mebuck said: The link is not working. I just noticed. Thanks. It is seemingly tied with the server restart. I'll do some digging and hope to have it back soon. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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