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3A Sectional 30


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On 10/9/2022 at 9:15 PM, Titan32 said:
TOURNAMENT CHANCES
Chances of winning each round, based on ratings, draw and home-field advantage
Chance of less than 0.005% is not shown

 

image.png.8eda39982d5c5db0317bba6de2b00f98.png

These numbers just seem... off. 

Aside from some clear bias that I may or may not have (hint: I have), but how does GS ( or any team, for that matter) have a better chance than OV of winning state, but less chance to get out of the same sectional? 

Maff hurts my brain.

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6 minutes ago, Esso Ayche said:

These numbers just seem... off. 

Aside from some clear bias that I may or may not have (hint: I have), but how does GS ( or any team, for that matter) have a better chance than OV of winning state, but less chance to get out of the same sectional? 

Maff hurts my brain.

GS plays a tougher opponent 1st round than OV, so lesser chance to win Sectional. But if they win Sectional, they have a greater chance of winning Regional, etc. 

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2 minutes ago, tango said:

GS plays a tougher opponent 1st round than OV, so lesser chance to win Sectional. But if they win Sectional, they have a greater chance of winning Regional, etc. 

Ah, that makes sense in the sectional. And would if the numbers flipped at the regionals, but in this case they still show less chance in regionals and they don't flip until ss. How does that work?

I know, mostly meaningless numbers (to a point), just curious about interpreting their meaningless... ness.

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