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TheLip2

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Posts posted by TheLip2

  1. 6 minutes ago, Temptation said:

    Danville was the big winner in 3A south tonight.  Their redemption combined with Indian Creek getting bounced has the Warriors looking good on that side of the bracket.

    They are now an overwhelming favorite in sectional 29, can compete with anyone in sectional 30 and Brownstown is out of the way in 31.

    Might be time to start looking for hotels in SW Indiana...

    Brownstown was never the strongest team in sectional 31 to begin with. Look at the Sagarin ratings, they don't lie. They don't guarantee a winner, but they are very good at establishing a favorite - especially late in the year with more data input. 

    One caveat though to keep in mind... Sagarin doesn't know about bad beats, injuries, out-of-state games, and matchup problems. If you make your own adjustments mentally using the Sagarin as a starting point and considering these factors you will have the upper hand predicting a game.

  2. 13 hours ago, npatman said:

    We are better in the polls, but the computers like LB I guess.

    The Sagarin gives credit for Lawrenceburg's tougher schedule and therefore a higher ranking, I think everyone understands that.

    However, Harrel's tournament predictions are making Lawrenceburg an even bigger favorite than many expect because the "computer" sees a tougher tourney path for Brownstown than compared to L'burg. If the two teams were switched in the bracket I would anticipate L'burgs fortunes would go down a bit and Brownstown would rise a bit, but 🐅 town would still be favored.

  3. 1 hour ago, Magic 8 Ball said:

    IMHO...I didn’t think the JR post was bashing, but what do I know.

    I didn't see anything particularly offensive either and I think I have a decent grasp on that stuff since I have a recent BS - Communication degree. But, we live in the age of thin skins and distorted views so who knows what the issue was or who was offended. I would have liked to have seen some clarification on what particularly was out-of-bounds, especially if you are threatening to throw more people people off the site. For me it was a wasted threat because I have zero insight into what was done wrong, hence there is no lesson.

    9 hours ago, Coach Nowlin said:

    I have took 1 account and gave the toss out of the community. 

    The obsession over a coach who hasn't been there in 2 years at East Central has gotten out of control and I/WE will not continue to let you all have your personal playground.

    I addressed this issue last year and the next move will be banning every IP from SE INDIANA with 1 quick hit of a button.  

     

    It seems a bit out of line to threaten a whole group of people based on their location. In my case, I don't even know/understand what was posted that was offensive (I didn't see anything out of line.) Bottom line, the whole, "next move will be banning every IP from SE INDIANA with 1 quick hit of a button" doesn't give me a good vibe about the site.

    I guess I am saying I don't like to be threatened over an incident that I not only do not understand, but that I had nothing to do with. That is offensive and out of line in my eye. Yet it happened. Perhaps explaining how I feel, combined with my location, will get me the boot? Or, maybe the moderator will realize it was wrong to threaten everyone based on IP geolocation (which is easily beat) and more thoroughly explain the offensive behaviour which might actually help prevent said behaviour.

     

  4. 10 hours ago, Coffin K9 said:

    It took a lot of guts for Coach K to go for 2, and the win, rather than kicking the PAT to put the game into OT. Great win Tigers, it was a fun game to watch!!! Best of luck, and we'll see ya Yoon!

    I am guessing, because I don't have the stats in front of me, but the Tigers have not been converting PAT's at a high rate - maybe 75-80 percent? This fact made it much easier to go for two.

    I will admit this game surprised me. Although Lawrenceburg mostly had it's way with the Dawgs on offense, with the exception of the INT near the end of the first half, the Tiger D didn't have an answer to stop the Batesville offense. The Casket Nation QB hurt the Tigers over and over again.

    Although a loss is a loss, Batesville lit up a Tiger D that had been fairly stingy most of the year. Although the Condoms put 30 up on the Tigers earlier, it was mostly the result of turnovers and a couple broken plays. Dog fans should probably be happy with what they saw out of their team last night.

    Regarding the River Rat v Condom Nation game....My original prediction of a blowout was dead on and I should have never doubted my original 21+ prediction. Think long, think wrong!

  5. 47 minutes ago, KFI said:

    Tanka I am glad you asked. This is something the Knights have been hanging their hat on since Coach Rand took over. One may think they know the meaning, but I can assure you, they have no clue. So Let KFI tell you, it stands for: Knights, Football, Interinty. 

    Doesn't seem like getting that tattoo was good judgement for a man in his circumstances, but hey - he should fit in well.

  6. On 9/23/2019 at 2:07 PM, TheLip2 said:

    Just two things...
     

    • Tigers win easily against the Dogs this week. Tigers > -28
       
    • Trojans also win handily vs Knights > -21

    After further review of the tape, the call on the field is overruled. I downgrade the Trojans to > -9 over the Knights. Sorry to the Knights and KFI for my knee jerk forecast for a beatdown. You have been upgraded from "beatdown" to a simple "loss."

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