Maybe not total ruin, but it certainly can impact kids transferring, fan support, finances and overall positive momentum in a program.
Transfers: Why go here (or stay here) if we face a guaranteed buzz saw in sectionals or regionals.
Fan Support: It may not be immediate, but after 2 years of early playoff losses many lose interest.
Finances: Less concessions and merchandise money with less games. Less support as success diminishes.
Positive Momentum: After consecutive years of deep playoff runs and/or a state title, momentum is at its peak. Lose in the 1st or 2nd round 2 years in a row and by the time it resets the positive mojo just isn't what it was.
If the idea behind SF is to offset open enrollment in public schools and/or no district map in private schools, the better equation would be evaluating rosters for organic enrollment. Have AD's submit an affidavit showing where ROSTERED PLAYERS attended 7th and 8th grade, as well as any high school transfers. If more than X number or Y percent is over a threshold, have a SF policy that deals with it.
