After Three Weeks in 2025, Visiting Teams Are Favored

[hhpatriot04]

So one thing I noticed while updating the Predict a Matchup Tool (shameless plug, I know), is there is currently negative homefield advantage in Jeff Sagarin's latest ratings. It's less than 0.2 points (0.15, actually) after three games. This means that the visitors have, so far, outscored the home teams. Historical data says it's not likely to remain that way. Still interesting, nonetheless!

Home Field Advantage by Year (excluding 2020):
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1999: 1.15
2000: 0.93
2001: 1.22
2002: 1.19
2003: 0.84
2004: 1.07
2005: 1.34
2006: 0.89
2007: 1.45
2008: 1.53
2009: 0.89
2010: 2.06
2011: 1.63
2012: 1.67
2013: 1.68
2014: 0.83
2015: 1.06
2016: 1.28
2017: 1.65
2018: 1.73
2019: 1.33
2021: 1.27
2022: 1.49
2023: 2.05
2024: 0.97
2025: -0.15

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Number of years processed: 26
Average Home Field Advantage: 1.2712

[hhpatriot04]

Back to the home team being favored by 1.2 points after four games (all is right with the world now, so I can sleep again).