I'm an analytics guy too (teach math and stats). Let's say that over a ten play drive Team A ( focuses on big hits or turnovers) gets 2 plays for -5 yards on "big hits", has 5 average plays of +5 yards, has 2 plays where it gives up 2 missed tackles for a total of 20 yards, another play with a missed tackle on a 10 yard pass resulting in +25 yards. Team B focuses on sound tackling is on a 10 play drive and gets 1 play for -1 yards, 5 average plays of +5 yards, 2 plays of 8 yards, misses a tackle for a 10 yard gain, and allows one completion for 10 yards. Both teams have given up 60 yards in 10 plays. I get that both are giving up 6 yds/play, but which team is going to give you the best long term shot at winning the game?