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Everything posted by TheStatGuy
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270 to Win, 2020 Edition
TheStatGuy replied to DanteEstonia's topic in Gridiron Out of Bounds's Out of Bound Forum
And when i say he's less popular by 12 points then he was in 2016.. That's what was shown in a recent Rasmussen poll. A pro trump poll. -
States that are truly in play for either side Ohio, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Florida, Arizona, Texas, Georgia, Iowa, New Hampshire and Minnesota. Id say New Hampshire and Minnesota are safer to go D then R. I think its probably safe that Michigan will go back to D. Florida, Texas and Georgia are safer to go R then D. That leaves Iowa, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Arizona. Democrat enthusiasm in Pennsylvania and Georgia have been off the charts.
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No, thats actually not what im saying. There is a thing called margin of error. The RCP was correct because Clintons overall percentage and Trumps overall percentage were both in the 3 to 4 margin of error. ..meaning could be higher by 3 or 4 points or lower by 3 or 4 on both sides. That's what the polling average was on this date 4 years ago.. Wisconsin, New Hampshire and Michigan got to the margin of error the week of election. Florida, Ohio, Iowa, North Carolina and Pennsylvania were already in the margin of error at this point in time in 2016. The RCP national average was pretty spot on. It seems its pretty spot on right now and I can confidentially tell you more than likely it won't be a massacre on either side.
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270 to Win, 2020 Edition
TheStatGuy replied to DanteEstonia's topic in Gridiron Out of Bounds's Out of Bound Forum
That arena where the rally will be in holds 19,000 lol. There's an old saying: the empty can rattles the loudest. The Trump campaign has long admitted that its rallies are a tool for harvesting cell phone numbers and email addresses of people who sign up to attend. Those people then are then bombarded with emails and text messages asking for campaign donations and targeted with ads on Facebook and Instagram. Tulsa has a little over 400,000 people in it and Oklahoma itself has 4 million. Getting 1 million people to sign up isn't too hard but getting the 1 million to show up lol good luck.. And landslide? Hes less popular at the moment then he was on election day 2016.. By a whopping 12 points.. Btw.. Shouldn't he be campaigning in a state hes struggling in? I mean there's at least 10 states i can think of. -
RCP swing state polling averages, 140 days until the 2016 election... MI: Clinton+8.3% FL: Clinton+3% OH: Clinton+2.7% PA: Clinton+0.5% WI: Clinton+11% IA: Clinton+4% NC: Trump+1% NH: Clinton+6.5% Clinton lost .13 in Michigan, Florida by 1.2, Ohio she lost by 8.1, .77 in Wisconsin, 9.41 in Iowa, 3.66 in North Carolina and she won new Hampshire by .37 RCP polls right now 140 days out. NOW MI: Biden+8.7% FL: Biden+3.4% OH: Trump+0.5% PA: Biden+3.3% WI: Biden+4% IA: Trump+1.5% NC: Trump+0.3% NH: Biden+4.6%
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The U.S. House is set to vote on D.C. statehood June 26, with a chamber of Congress is set to endorse the 51st state for the first time https://t.co/S8uxy2uiqq The Senate won't pick up the bill but once Dems pick up house and Senate and have a dem president. I could see this being pushed for. Republicans don't want an extra dem in house nor 2 in Senate.
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270 to Win, 2020 Edition
TheStatGuy replied to DanteEstonia's topic in Gridiron Out of Bounds's Out of Bound Forum
As PA primary count has continued, Dem vote is about 400k ahead of GOP, w Biden getting around 200k more votes than Trump. Still amazes me that there were turnout takes based on #s before Philadelphia reported https://t.co/VJ1FpvBGwX Democrats are MOTIVATED. -
Penn has went to semi state or state 5 times in the last 7 years. If thats a slide. Sign me up.
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270 to Win, 2020 Edition
TheStatGuy replied to DanteEstonia's topic in Gridiron Out of Bounds's Out of Bound Forum
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270 to Win, 2020 Edition
TheStatGuy replied to DanteEstonia's topic in Gridiron Out of Bounds's Out of Bound Forum
Trump was given the keys to a Ferrari in regards to the economy and wrecked it. Trump is Putin's bitch and does whatever he wants anyway. -
270 to Win, 2020 Edition
TheStatGuy replied to DanteEstonia's topic in Gridiron Out of Bounds's Out of Bound Forum
1 million people voted in the Georgia Democratic Senate primary...with more absentee voting still coming. Jesus. -
The Republican party that freed the slaves would be democrats now... The party changed platforms. Make America great again? My dad was 8 going on 9 when blacks got to vote, he was a freshman in high school when a lot of Southern States started desegregating schools.. My mom in 1st grade. Just imagine fighting for the United States in WW2 or Korea... And coming home and still not having rights. America has been great for White American Males. America is going backwards under trump. Not forwards.
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Donald Trump's approval rating the day he took over as President according to Rasmussen was 56 percent and its 44 currently... YIKES. Yes, he did have low high 30s to low 40s approval rating, but Clintons approval rating was 43 percent from the first through 6th of November 2016 according to 538. Low voter turn out in Miluwakee, Philidelphia and Detroit (mainly African American turn out) helped trump, along with running against someone who was just as unpopular.. And another stat.. People who held unfavorable views of both Clinton/Trump went to Trump by a decent margin. In 2020, I don't think voter turn out in those 3 cities will be the same, itll go up, hes running against someone whose more popular than Clinton. Im curious to see how people who have an unfavorability of both Biden and Trump.. Vote. I believe theyll vote for Biden.
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Demolished? He won the college electoral by 74 votes. He won by less than 80,000 votes in 3 states combined. Since 1900, he had the 7th lowest electoral votes of any president. Obama twice, Clinton Twice, Reagan Twice, Coolidge, Harding, Bush 41, Roosevelt, Wilson, Eisenhower, Hoover, LBJ, and Nixon 2nd term... All had more college electoral votes lol.
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Oh the typical Republican response.. Using a Robert Byrd..pic Robert Byrd was ahead of a local chapter and was never a grand wizard. Robert Byrd was apart of the KKK, he made some crappy votes too but later in life, he repeatedly apologized for his past mistakes. My maternal great grandpa Spicer was apart of the KKK in Arkansas. I disapprove of his beliefs but Im sure I would have loved him had I known him cause he is after all my great grandpa.
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Thats what the HNAC was going to be. North White and West Central drug their feet, Triton and LaVille joined. West Central then quickly moved to join, then North White i guess asked to be in after saying no to invite from hnac but was denied, then joined hoosier heartland as football only till new MWC was created.
