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Posted
19 hours ago, TigerFan20 said:

JH Lines:

Bosse at Reitz (-28)

Mater Dei (-21) at Harrison

Castle (-21) at Central

Lincoln at Memorial (-14)

North at Jasper (-4)

I think your lines are a bit off.  Are you using the updated ratings for Week 8 and are you using the Predictor value, not the rating value? 

2025 Ev. Reitz is a 36.5-point favorite hosting 2025 Ev. Bosse with a 1.2-point HFA. Win probability: 2025 Ev. Reitz 94.28%, 2025 Ev. Bosse 5.72%.

2025 Ev. Mater Dei is a 23.5-point favorite at 2025 Ev. Harrison with a 1.2-point HFAWin probability: 2025 Ev. Mater Dei 85.86%, 2025 Ev. Harrison 14.14%.

2025 Castle is a 27.0-point favorite at 2025 Ev. Harrison with a 1.2-point HFA. Win probability: 2025 Castle 88.82%, 2025 Ev. Harrison 11.18%.

2025 Ev. Memorial is a 12.0-point favorite hosting 2025 Vincennes with a 1.2-point HFA. Win probability: 2025 Ev. Memorial 71.53%, 2025 Vincennes 28.47%.

2025 Jasper is a 4.5-point favorite hosting 2025 Ev. North with a 1.2-point HFAWin probability: 2025 Jasper 58.55%, 2025 Ev. North 41.45%.

 

Posted
52 minutes ago, hhpatriot04 said:

I think your lines are a bit off.  Are you using the updated ratings for Week 8 and are you using the Predictor value, not the rating value? 

2025 Ev. Reitz is a 36.5-point favorite hosting 2025 Ev. Bosse with a 1.2-point HFA. Win probability: 2025 Ev. Reitz 94.28%, 2025 Ev. Bosse 5.72%.

2025 Ev. Mater Dei is a 23.5-point favorite at 2025 Ev. Harrison with a 1.2-point HFAWin probability: 2025 Ev. Mater Dei 85.86%, 2025 Ev. Harrison 14.14%.

2025 Castle is a 27.0-point favorite at 2025 Ev. Harrison with a 1.2-point HFA. Win probability: 2025 Castle 88.82%, 2025 Ev. Harrison 11.18%.

2025 Ev. Memorial is a 12.0-point favorite hosting 2025 Vincennes with a 1.2-point HFA. Win probability: 2025 Ev. Memorial 71.53%, 2025 Vincennes 28.47%.

2025 Jasper is a 4.5-point favorite hosting 2025 Ev. North with a 1.2-point HFAWin probability: 2025 Jasper 58.55%, 2025 Ev. North 41.45%.

 

They were the ones that Harrell posted yesterday. Unless he updated them again today, since he has done that before.

Posted
4 minutes ago, TigerFan20 said:

They were the ones that Harrell posted yesterday. Unless he updated them again today, since he has done that before.

Sorry. I reread. You are using John Harrell. I posted Jeff Sagarin. My bad.

  • Like 1
Posted

Massey Ratings:

Bosse at Reitz (-41), 100% chance of victory for the Panthers

Castle (-37) at Central, 100% chance of victory for the Knights

Mater Dei (-34) at Harrison, 99% chance of victory for the Wildcats 

Lincoln at Memorial (-29), 99% chance of victory for the Tigers

North at Jasper (-7), 70% chance of victory for the Wildcats

Posted

Not much excitement this week. Everybody must be on Franklin Street... Hope everyone had an undefeated holy stromboli from the Tiger Athletics Booth, conveniently located near Sportsman's Bar.

This may be the most lopsided slate of the season. Jasper hosting North is probably the best match-up. Final SIAC appearance at Enlow Field for the Lincoln Alices. 

Posted
26 minutes ago, tango said:

Not much excitement this week. Everybody must be on Franklin Street... Hope everyone had an undefeated holy stromboli from the Tiger Athletics Booth, conveniently located near Sportsman's Bar.

This may be the most lopsided slate of the season. Jasper hosting North is probably the best match-up. Final SIAC appearance at Enlow Field for the Lincoln Alices. 

Should be great weather for the rest of the Fall Fest now. Very quiet this week, although Sunday will get everyone churning with the tournament ping pongs.

  • Like 1
Posted
1 hour ago, tango said:

Read that half the Bosse team quit yesterday. Anyone able to confirm or provide more info? 

Really? I heard they started the running clock early.

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