I totally get your story and have heard it several times, it can certainly work out that way. That said, Dave Mosbey has some crazy stats in the PAC regarding the comparison of 8th grade success in our conference (PAC) vs senior year. It's in the 90's percentile wise if memory serves. So, although it doesn't matter (and everyone agrees it doesn't), if it were a stock it would be a great way to hedge your bet.