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TheStatGuy

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Posts posted by TheStatGuy

  1. 8 hours ago, foxbat said:

    Correct, Guerin Catholic played in semi-state against Fountain Central in 1A back in 2010 ... dropping that game 22-20.  They followed that up by also appearing in semi-state in 2011 against Mater Dei in 2A .. dropping that game 27-16.

    They may be one of the quickest teams to traverse classes as well starting in 1A in 2006, moving to 2A in 2011, and then 3A in 2013.

    Guerin was 2a in 06. 

    They beat Winamac in first round of sectionals, then i believe Noll then lost to Rensselaer. 

  2. 23 minutes ago, foxbat said:

    Yeah, that's it. *smh*

    Probably just be easier staying at a Holiday Inn the night before.

    • Cov Christian is a 1-point Sagarin favorite over Lutheran.  Lutheran dropped the game by game by 8.  Nothing close or advantageous for Lutheran who had a bye.
    • You could maybe make an argument that Winamac benefited with a bye before they beat North Judson, except said two-week bye advantage, which is actually what you original post was based on, didn't help again LCC.  Matter of fact, LCC is a 5-point differential over Winamac which is exactly what they won by so LCC's break didn't help any and Winamac's two-week break also didn't help.  Maybe the dueling byes, even though one was one-week and one was two-week cancel out.  Then again though, that doesn't match up with the premise that a bye two weeks ago is beneficial.
    • Parke Heritage is an 8-point differential ... they dropped their game by 3.  That might be the closest argument.  5 points
    • Park Tudor is a 36-point differential.  They lost by 32 points. 32 or 36, there's nothing close about that.  Matter of fact, given that Park Tudor picked up 6 in the 4th quarter after going scoreless in the 2nd and 3rd says that the gap would have been wider had it not been for JV play.  Unless you want to argue that the bye the week before gave Park Tudor the extra energy to push forward for that 4th quarter TD.
    •  As with Winamac, you can make an argument that Madison Grant's bye helped them overcome a 2-point differential in a win over Tri-Central by 16.  But again, your initial premise was that a bye two weeks ago gives an advantage.  MG was a 49-point underdog to South Adams.  They lost by 48.  
    • NCF was a 39-point underdog.  Their game after their bye produced a 56-point shutout.

    If we are keeping score at home, an argument can be made that 2 teams won games that they were supposed to lose, one closed the gap to 5 points from 8 but still lost, and for five they lost like they were supposed to or worse in those eight games for six teams that @gonzoron pointed out that had byes and are out. Of the ones that had a two-week bye "advantage," Winamac, Madison-Grant, and LCC ... which isn't part of the six above ... LCC is the only one still standing.  And it won its game against Winamac by the same 5 points that it was supposed to.  Winamac lost by the same points they were supposed to and so did Madison Grant.  In essence, having the bye, especially the two-week bye that the initial post pointed to produces not advantage or disadvantage based on the data points. 

     

    Winamac was a 3 point under dog against lcc.

    I can tell you that bye week during week 2 of sectionals definitely helped and I also think lcc not having to play in the sectional final helped them too. There were quite a few cc coaches and players at the winamac game against NJ. They got to see  winamac play live which I think helps more than film. 

    Winamac's bye also helped them get a few extra days for NJ.

    This temptation guy is a turd. 

     

  3. 1 hour ago, gonzoron said:

    Just looking at 1A alone, you feel playing 1 fewer game is an advantage for LCC, but not Winamac, Parke Heritage, Park Tudor, Indiana Lutheran, Madison-Grant and North Central(Farmersburg)? Your theory doesn't hold water.

    Winamac had a bye week round 2. 

    I thought that gave them a huge advantage against North Judson. They had 8 days ro prepare for the Jays. 

    I think LCC missing the sectional final was really huge for them too. It gave LCC a week to heal some bumps and bruises and another week of extra practice.. To get in better rhythm. 

    I think in a way their breaks helped but hurt them too. 

  4. 2 hours ago, Basementbias said:

    This one intrigues me. South Adams is the #1 ranked team, but are they considered the underdogs in this one? LCC has the tradition and history as well as home field in this one. They are also the defending state champs. I thought South Adams looked pretty nervous last night against Southwood and played much differently than they have all season. Credit to Southwood for pushing them, but I think South Adams played "hesitant" as the favorite. Probably the pressure they put on themselves for collapsing at the same stage last year. Can the Starfires play fast and free this week or will it be the same? What should we expect out of LCC? I know Tipton was good, but Luers beating them yesterday they way they did surprised me.

    South Adams is gonna have to put pressure on Barrett and get him out of the pocket. Winamac did get a few sacks, did bat some balls down and picked him off twice but Barrett for the most part was able to stick in pocket.  SA does have some really athletic kids so I think they'll be able to keep up with CC's receivers. 

    Arnold will good success imo throwing the ball but SA will have to get some yardage on the ground. 

     

    I think SA will win but it wouldn't shock me if LCC won. 

     

  5. 3 hours ago, DT said:

    https://chicago.suntimes.com/2020/11/14/21565663/patrick-ramseys-3-td-passes-lead-no-23-northwestern-past-purdue

    Could not have worked out better for Michael Penix, Patrick Ramsey, Iu and Northwestern

    The Cats and Hoosiers are a combined 8-0.  Can you imagine a Northwestern vs Indiana Big Ten Championship Game at Lucas Oil?  Can IU do the seemingly impossible and take out Brutus Buckeye next week in Columbus?

    The stars are coming into alignment and nothing is impossible in the year of the pandemic.

     

     

    Who is Patrick Ramsey? 

    I thought Northwestern's QB was Peyton Ramsey?

  6. 3 hours ago, TheStatGuy said:

    Man that game was exciting!

    The Warriors took advantage of some Knight turnovers early to get out to a nice lead. 

    CC took advantage of a Compton fumble and added a field goal after a Warrior drive stalled due to penalties. Their D stepped up big on 2 2 pt conversions. Winamac took advantage of a missed field goal too. 

     

    CC is gonna be legit next year. I think this game got the kids from winamac feeling if they put in a good off season.. They can go deep into November next year. 14 starters come back with some back ups. 

    Correction.

    Central catholic added a touchdown to go up 12 after a drive that winamac had that was stalled by penalties. 

     

    Winamac did what they had to do. They got over 400 yards of offense. Forced two turnovers (one resulted in a TD) batted some passes, got some sacks, blocked a punt, got some luck on CC missing two field goals but CC did a lot of damage. Had 500 yards of offense, forced a fumble, had a nice D stand on a drive, stopped winamac twice on going for 2. 

  7. 18 hours ago, DT said:

    We are in a period of contraction, downsizing and consolidation due to the financial and economioc fallout from the COVID Pandemic.

    Now is not the time to be adding 8 man football to already cash strapped athletic departments.

     

     

    Stop dude. 

    17 hours ago, boilerfan87 said:

    I agree. The 8-man proposal for Indiana was also fairly recently tabled. So I do not expect such a thing any time soon.

    I hope it is revisited once economic situations stabilize. I also don't think it would be a bad thing for some current 11-man teams to potentially play 8-man instead. It would give them an opportunity to be more competitive.  

    I think the MWC schools besides North Newton was pushing that. 

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  8. Man that game was exciting!

    The Warriors took advantage of some Knight turnovers early to get out to a nice lead. 

    CC took advantage of a Compton fumble and added a field goal after a Warrior drive stalled due to penalties. Their D stepped up big on 2 2 pt conversions. Winamac took advantage of a missed field goal too. 

     

    CC is gonna be legit next year. I think this game got the kids from winamac feeling if they put in a good off season.. They can go deep into November next year. 14 starters come back with some back ups. 

  9. 3 hours ago, swordfish said:

    "We want something for our vote"

    https://www.foxnews.com/politics/blm-co-founder-to-biden-we-want-something-for-our-vote

    'Black people won this election,' Black Lives Matter co-founder Patrisse Cullors says

    Cullors reminded Biden and Harris that they both "expressed regrets regarding your record on issues impacting Black people," 

    Really?  In other words; "We know your record, (both of you 1 with over 40 years, and the other as a prosecutor in CA) but we know you're gonna change because you said you feel bad about it while begging for our votes"

    What is the definition of insanity?  Doing the same thing over and over, but expecting a different result?

     

    Insanity is still thinking Trickle down economics works. 

    Insanity is still thinking Trump has a chance to win a 2nd term.

    Insanity is voting for Trump not once but twice.

    Im gonna enjoy this for the next 4 years. 

    @swordfish is that you on election night or @DE

    tenor.gif

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  10. 8 hours ago, swordfish said:

    Muda is correct, the media doesn't call the election.....

    Biden is up 146,137 in Michigan, hes up 20,557 in Wisconsin, 52,763 in Pennsylvania, 11,635 in Arizona and 14,056 in Georgia. 

    Recounts don't over turn elections separated by 10,000+ votes. 

    I'm confident cause I pay attention to newspapers in those states and people who deal with elections all the time. 

     

    You are so in denial. TRUMP LOST MOVE ON!

    BIDEN/HARRIS 2020!

     

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