hhpatriot04 Posted November 9, 2023 Author Posted November 9, 2023 Predictor.GridironDigest.net Back by popular demand 👋 @tango Quote
hhpatriot04 Posted November 20, 2023 Author Posted November 20, 2023 And here are the predictions, using Jeff Sagarin's Predictor Rating, for the 2023 state championship games! Predict a Matchup Tool CLASS A Indy Lutheran (80.71) is a 2-point favorite vs. Adams Central (78.51) and has about a 54.21% chance of winning. CLASS 2A North Posey (70.4) is a 8.5-point favorite vs. FW Luers (62.02) and has about a 65.55% chance of winning. CLASS 3A Indy Chatard (87.92) is a 10.5-point favorite vs. Heritage Hills (77.67) and has about a 68.71% chance of winning. CLASS 4A East Central (100.91) is a 20-point favorite vs. NorthWood (80.93) and has about a 82.25% chance of winning. CLASS 5A FW Snider (86) is a 1.5-point favorite vs. Decatur Central (84.7) and has about a 52.49% chance of winning. CLASS 6A Ben Davis (104.61) is a 14-point favorite vs. Crown Point (90.77) and has about a 74.31% chance of winning. Quote
Bobref Posted November 20, 2023 Posted November 20, 2023 46 minutes ago, hhpatriot04 said: CLASS 6A Ben Davis (104.61) is a 11-point favorite vs. Westfield (93.85) and has about a 69.55% chance of winning. How do you think Ben Davis will do against Crown Point? Quote
ArmyVet80 Posted November 20, 2023 Posted November 20, 2023 9 hours ago, Bobref said: How do you think Ben Davis will do against Crown Point? Ben Davis (104.61) is a 16-point favorite vs. Crown Point (90.77) and has about a 77.19% chance of winning (2.04-point home-field advantage). 👍 Quote
hhpatriot04 Posted November 20, 2023 Author Posted November 20, 2023 1 hour ago, ArmyVet80 said: Ben Davis (104.61) is a 16-point favorite vs. Crown Point (90.77) and has about a 77.19% chance of winning (2.04-point home-field advantage). 👍 Ben Davis (104.61) is a 14-point favorite vs. Crown Point (90.77) and has about a 74.31% chance of winning (0-point home-field advantage). Now, I can clarify that I didn't use the homefield advantage for these games. Quote
ArmyVet80 Posted November 21, 2023 Posted November 21, 2023 22 hours ago, hhpatriot04 said: Ben Davis (104.61) is a 14-point favorite vs. Crown Point (90.77) and has about a 74.31% chance of winning (0-point home-field advantage). Now, I can clarify that I didn't use the homefield advantage for these games. I forgot to turn it off. 🤦♂️ I'm guessing it'll be very close to a home game crowd for Ben Davis though. 😂 Quote
foxbat Posted October 2, 2024 Posted October 2, 2024 Has the tool been updated for the 2024 season? Quote
Cowboysfan03 Posted November 4, 2024 Posted November 4, 2024 I honestly wouldn’t be surprised if Franklin central beats Center grove this year and cathedral to beat Ln Quote
hhpatriot04 Posted September 16, 2025 Author Posted September 16, 2025 On 10/2/2024 at 1:19 PM, foxbat said: Has the tool been updated for the 2024 season? Yes and updated through Week 4 of 2025! 1 Quote
hhpatriot04 Posted September 16, 2025 Author Posted September 16, 2025 I added the ability to predict between years. The math is pretty solid (I just compare each team to the mean for a given year). 2024 Ben Davis (Raw: 93.4 / WinsM: 45.4 / Norm: 123.0) is a 10.0-point favorite vs. 2025 New Palestine (Raw: 90.2 / WinsM: 52.4 / Norm: 112.8) (no HFA). Win probability: 2024 Ben Davis 68.3%, 2025 New Palestine 31.7%. Note: Predictions are rounded to the half (0.5) point. Matchup comparisons use normalized ratings (Raw Predictor - Year's Winsorized Mean) and apply home-field advantage, if selected, and averaged if years are different). Updated thru: Week 14 — September 14, 2025 Quote
hhpatriot04 Posted 37 minutes ago Author Posted 37 minutes ago I'm waiting on Jeff Sagarin's 2026 rankings to update the Predictor. He usually has them out by now. I might have to email John Harrell to see what's up. Quote
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.