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Predict a Matchup Tool


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Hello Community,

I've revived the Indiana High School Football Game Predictor Tool that strictly uses Jeff Sagarin's predictor rating and the option of factoring in homefield advantage. Keep in mind that Sagarin only uses direct data from Indiana teams vs. other Indiana teams (no out-of-state games).

For improvements, please let me know in this thread if you find errors in computation or otherwise or layout or if you have general feature requests/improvements.

Enjoy!

Win probability (percentage) is added.

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I am thinking of using Sagarin's ratings to show the percentage that Team A beats Team B (perhaps with a guessed score and future projections using scoring averages)... Any interest in that? Also, does anyone have a degree in statistiics or finite math? If so, please message or post here.

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  • 4 months later...

I let the subscription to the host server lapse. Let me see if I can find another free one (needs PHP & MYSQL), or if @DK_Barons can setup up gridirondigest.net/predictor like we used to.

I appreciate the interest, but likely until Week 6 this year, Sagarin's rankings will be pretty much useless because of all the cancellations, thus it'll take a few more weeks to get all the teams in the state "connected," which is when his ratings become increasingly trustworthly. Who knows, if unfortunately the tournament doesn't happen for some reason, we may need some TGD junkies to simulate what the tournaments would look like... Back to the pre-tournament, polling days.

 

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13 hours ago, dazed and confused said:

..... still not working.... for me anyhows

There's progress... Although, I was quite sick this weekend and not able to work on it. http://predictor.gridirondigest.net  (Yes I know it's not functional)

Quick hint: Just go to Sagarin's website, use the predictor value of both teams and find the difference. That is all this little script is doing (you can add in the home field advantage which varies every week if you want)

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22 minutes ago, hhpatriot04 said:

There's progress... Although, I was quite sick this weekend and not able to work on it. http://predictor.gridirondigest.net  (Yes I know it's not functional)

Quick hint: Just go to Sagarin's website, use the predictor value of both teams and find the difference. That is all this little script is doing (you can add in the home field advantage which varies every week if you want)

Thanks hh ! Thanks for the hint but JH already does that in his game capsules for upcoming games I believe

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1 hour ago, dazed and confused said:

Thanks hh ! Thanks for the hint but JH already does that in his game capsules for upcoming games I believe

Is it different than the "JH Prediction?" I haven't figured that one out yet, but it definitely doesn't strictly use Sagarin's ratings -- or in the way my predictor does/did/will.

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On 9/27/2020 at 9:30 AM, hhpatriot04 said:

Is it different than the "JH Prediction?" I haven't figured that one out yet, but it definitely doesn't strictly use Sagarin's ratings -- or in the way my predictor does/did/will.

JH has his own calculation.  I saw a tweet referring to it a few weeks back.  

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