SIAC Week 2

[TigerFan20]

Massey Ratings:

(N) Reitz (+1) vs Tri-West, 52% chance of winning for the Bruins

Castle at Mater Dei (-6), 58% chance of winning for the Wildcats

Central (-14) at Bosse, 72% chance of winning for the Bears

Memorial (-17) at North, 80% chance of winning for the Tigers

Harrison at Jasper (-34), 97% chance of winning for the Wildcats

[hhpatriot04]

Predictor Tool (using Sagarin ratings ... win percentages are proprietary)

Ev. Reitz is a 1.5-point favorite vs. Tri-West (no HFA).
Win probability: Ev. Reitz 52.88%, Tri-West 47.12%.

Ev. Mater Dei is a 4.5-point favorite hosting Castle with a 2.2-point HFA.
Win probability: Ev. Mater Dei 58.55%, Castle 41.45%.

Ev. Central is a 5.5-point favorite at Ev. Bosse with a 2.2-point HFA.
Win probability: Ev. Central 60.4%, Ev. Bosse 39.6%.

Ev. Memorial is a 8.5-point favorite at Ev. North with a 2.2-point HFA.
Win probability: Ev. Memorial 65.76%, Ev. North 34.24%.

Jasper is a 18.5-point favorite hosting Ev. Harrison with a 2.2-point HFA.
Win probability: Jasper 80.53%, Ev. Harrison 19.47%.

I can't believe how similar the win percentages are between the Predictor Tool and Massey for the first two games.

 

 

[tango]

This should be one of the more competitive weeks in the SIAC season across the board. 

[LC_Bears_04]

Tri-West

Castle

Central

Memorial

Jasper

[AW0352]

Really curious to see the result of Castle v MD and Memorial v North.   These two results should tell us a lot about the season. 

[hhpatriot04]

17 minutes ago, AW0352 said:

Really curious to see the result of Castle v MD and Memorial v North.   These two results should tell us a lot about the season. 

Who is the favorite between Castle-Mater Dei?

[tango]

26 minutes ago, AW0352 said:

Really curious to see the result of Castle v MD and Memorial v North.   These two results should tell us a lot about the season. 

I agree. Although much can change as the season plays out with injuries, etc.

9 minutes ago, hhpatriot04 said:

Who is the favorite between Castle-Mater Dei?

IMO it has to be Castle just because they played a competitive opponent in Wk. 1. At this point I think its hard to gauge Reitz or Mater Dei, but we should find out a lot more this weekend.