Just a dad Posted October 16, 2023 Share Posted October 16, 2023 Based on work from @Frozen Tundra. All scores were determined by Callpreps matchup simulator. Numbers in parenthesis are their confidence factor. Sectional 33: LaVille #103 vs North Newton #323 LaVille 62-0 (99%) LaVille 28-14 (81%) LaVille 20-19 (53%) Wheeler #177 vs Winnamac #232 Wheeler 28-13 (84%) North Judson #176 vs South Central #274 North Judson 44-13 (97%) Andrean 26-17 (73%) Andrean #121 vs Edison (Lake Station) #314. Andrean 62-0 (99%) Sectional 34: Adams Central #33 vs BYE Adams Central Adams Central 60-0 (99%) Adams Central 44-7 (99%) Central Noble #253 vs Churubusco #263 Central Noble 24-21 (58%) South Adams #210 vs Whitko #303 South Adams 48-0 (99%) South Adams 22-21 (53%) Eastside #173 vs Prairie Heights #314. Eastside 49-6 (99%) Sectional 35: Carrol (Flora) #95 vs Covington #263 Carroll 44-3 (99%) Carroll 40-17 (93%) Carroll 26-22 (60%) Lewis Cass #191 vs Seeger #207 Cass 31-24 (65%) Pioneer #163 vs Clinton Prairie #223 Pioneer 35-22 (80%) LCC 31-14 (87%) Laf Central #101 vs Delphi #231. LCC 40-6 (98%) Sectional 36: Winchester #150 vs BYE Winchester Winchester 27-22 (61%) Winchester 27-17 (74%) Madison-Grant #251 vs Elwood #293 Madison Grant 52-6 (99%) Monroe Central #241 vs Taylor #298 Monroe Central 35-10 (95%) Sheridan 28-14 (81%) Sheridan #188 vs BYE Sheridan Sectional 37: Scecina #126 vs BYE Scecina Scecina 31-28 (58%) Scecina 35-28 (65%) Eastern Hancock #170 vs Shenandoah #254 E Hanncock 31-8 (93%) Covenant Christian #166 vs Knighttown #272 Cov Christian 46-14 (98%) Cov Christian 38-35 (53%) Park Tudor #164 vs BYE Park Tudor Sectional 38: Milan #127 vs BYE Milan Milan 35-10 (95%) Milan 31-12 (88%) Hagerstown #211 vs Switzerland Co #273 Hagerstown 28-8 (88%) North Decatur #195 vs Union County #318 North Decatur 46-13 (98%) North Decatur 27-24 (58%) Northeastern #186 vs BYE Northeastern Sectional 39: Linton-Stockton #87 vs BYE Linton-Stockton Linton-Stockton 44-14 (97%) Linton-Stockton 31-24 (65%) Eastern Greene #217 vs Riverton Parke #245 Eastern Greene 27-17 (74%) North Knox #190 vs Parke Heritage #276 North Knox 34-7 (96%) South Putnam 35-14 (90%) South Putnam #113 vs Cloverdale #291 South Putnam 58-0 (99%) Sectional 40: Providence #73 vs Crawford County #313 Providence 66-6 (99%) Providence 44-14 997%) Providence 38-26 (77%) Perry Central #213 vs South Spencer #234 Perry Central 31-21 (74%) Forest Park #201 vs Eastern (Pekin) #246 Forest Park 28-17 (75%) Paoli 41-21 (88%) Paoli #123 vs Clarksville #294 Paoli 61-6 (99%) Elite Eight: Adams Central 34 def LaVille 13 (90%) Carroll 31 def Winchester 17 (81%) Milan 31 def Scecina 21 (74%) Providence 31 def Linton-Stockton 28 (58%) Final Four: Adams Central 34 def Carroll 17 (87%) Providence 35 def Milan 22 (80%) Fictional State Champion: Adams Central 35 def Providence 24 (75%) 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
foxbat Posted October 17, 2023 Share Posted October 17, 2023 2 hours ago, Just a dad said: Elite Eight: Adams Central 34 def LaVille 13 (90%) Carroll 31 def Winchester 17 (81%) Milan 31 def Scecina 21 (74%) Providence 31 def Linton-Stockton 28 (58%) Final Four: Adams Central 34 def Carroll 17 (87%) Providence 35 def Milan 22 (80%) Fictional State Champion: Adams Central 35 def Providence 24 (75%) What's surprising about this is that, for all of the talk about 1A and competitiveness there are four current 1A schools right there in the mix of the Elite Eight and all four make it to the Final Four. Also toss in just one p/p making it to the regionals ... and without the impact of SF. Would be interesting to see this in simulation over time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ragdoll Posted October 17, 2023 Share Posted October 17, 2023 This makes too much sense. Needs to be more like the current blind draw where Providence travels to Eastern Greene to open sectionals. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
globemstr3 Posted October 17, 2023 Share Posted October 17, 2023 Looked like great read until I saw Linton in 39? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frozen Tundra Posted October 17, 2023 Share Posted October 17, 2023 1 hour ago, ragdoll said: This makes too much sense. Needs to be more like the current blind draw where Providence travels to Eastern Greene to open sectionals. To be fair, it makes sense why they’re in the same sectional with Eastern Greene if you look at a map pinpointing all current 1A schools. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frozen Tundra Posted October 17, 2023 Share Posted October 17, 2023 1 hour ago, globemstr3 said: Looked like great read until I saw Linton in 39? Where else would you put them in this hypothetical scenario? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ragdoll Posted October 18, 2023 Share Posted October 18, 2023 21 hours ago, Frozen Tundra said: To be fair, it makes sense why they’re in the same sectional with Eastern Greene if you look at a map pinpointing all current 1A schools. Logistical with seeding. rewarding top team with long distant road trip is IHSAA special. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frozen Tundra Posted October 18, 2023 Share Posted October 18, 2023 11 minutes ago, ragdoll said: Logistical with seeding. rewarding top team with long distant road trip is IHSAA special. You’re not wrong about that Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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