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foxbat

Booster 2023-24
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Everything posted by foxbat

  1. Right now in Texas - Galena Park North Shore ... last 10 years, probably Allen.
  2. That would raise more questions than it answers and would pose a potentially scarier scenario than we are in right now. Let's assume that it's been in the US since December and that the first two deaths didn't show up until March. That would suggest outside of it actually arriving in any real force in the US until later on 1) either an extremely long incubation period or 2) quick mutation. In the first case, that seems unlikely given what we know now. That potentially leaves the second scenario, which fits in with your position that this is actually a second wave that we are seeing. That would be extremely scary depending on how you look at it. If it's been here since December and we are just seeing the numbers now that we're seeing, then for all of our science, etc. we did a p*ss poor job seeing something like this coming and blunting it. And frankly, it doesn't matter whether the Chinese gave advanced notice or not ... no one gives advanced notice in a championship game that they are going to run a trick play ... if you are good, then you are ready for it. On the other hand, let's assume that it was here in December and this, 70,000+ in two months over two months after its appearance, is a "second wave." Why didn't produce similar numbers in January/February that it did in late-March/April ... especially in a city like New York City? The argument could likely be, it was here, but in a different form ... and that would be the scary part ... that something like this mutated in just 2-3 months. If this thing mutated that quickly and dangerously, which I don't believe is the case although the fact that it will mutate is likely, then this thing will have more than just two waves and the next one could possibly morph toward attacking a more resistant group to its original form ... and that would also explain where this "phenomena" has been for the last 5 months. Like you said, no one knows. And, until we start getting better at knowing, I think dismissing or perhaps downplaying things that are showing up in a time of not knowing is riskier than being prepared to deal with it in case it isn't able to be dismissed. At this point, not dismissing it and looking at it provides less risk than dismissing it. The impact on kids may be nothing and, like I said in my previous post, I honestly hope that you are correct. If those kids in the UK and NY are the canary in the coalmine, just like those two folks in late-February/early-March were, it provides for a much scarier scenario.
  3. A week ago you were citing a quote that no one in the US had seen what the UK saw. While I appreciate that everyone wants to be positive, if we haven't learned anything from this episode is that the one thing that we can be sure of in the short-term is that there's little that we can be sure of. Kind of what someone else was posting just a little over two months ago in OOB about COVID in general. Early in the process, before we knew; downplaying the potential. A post that didn't age very well as we are now over 70,000. I honestly hope that you might be right and it doesn't go the same way ... forgive me though if I wait a while to see just where things may be headed before waiving it all off.
  4. And in less than a week, it seems to have found its way here. https://www.cnn.com/2020/05/05/health/nyc-children-hospitalized-inflammatory-coronavirus/index.html https://www.cnbc.com/2020/05/05/dr-scott-gottlieb-kawasaki-disease-in-kids-may-have-coronavirus-link.html
  5. We see this in the college ranks all the time. Students start taking off for Spring Break usually the Wednesday/Thursday/Friday before Spring Break and often extend Spring Break into the Monday/Tuesday after Spring Break. Instead of a week, it is easily a week and a half to two weeks. It wouldn't be so bad except students are downright indignant if you happen to have anything due in the days before or after the break. That has not really expanded to the fall with the Fall Break as it's only two days, but Thanksgiving Break has started to become the new "Fall Spring Break." Students start leaving in sizeable/noticeable numbers that Monday of Thanksgiving even though the university's break doesn't start until Wednesday. I had a student complaining that I gave a make-up exam for a missed mid-term on that Monday. A few semester's ago, I had a student complain that there was an exam on the Friday before Thanksgiving ... the week before ... because it interfered with their airline tickets that had been booked for the Thursday before Thanksgiving. We are starting to see sizeable amounts of students just basically assuming that Thanksgiving Break is a whole week, even though it's just the Wednesday/Thursday/Friday and, recently, we've been seeing the creeping of students starting Thanksgiving Break into that week before Thanksgiving. Oddly enough, we've not yet seen the creeping to students extending Thanksgiving Break on the back end, like they do with Spring Break.
  6. Ain't that the truth! And fall break plans, summer break plans, 4th of July plans, Memorial Day plans, Cinco de Mayo plans, plain old "going to the lake" plans, ... and the ever popular "whatever screws up the weekend tournament" plans.
  7. https://www.yahoo.com/news/serious-coronavirus-related-condition-may-114858433.html FTA: Doctors in the UK have reported a serious new coronavirus-related condition emerging in children, with growing numbers now requiring intensive care. An "urgent alert" sent out to general practitioners in London in the last three weeks warns of "an apparent rise in the number of children of all ages presenting with a multisystem inflammatory state requiring intensive care" according to a report by the Health Service Journal. The alert warned that "there is a growing concern that a [COVID-19] related inflammatory syndrome is emerging in children in the UK, or that there may be another, as yet unidentified, infectious pathogen associated with these cases." A separate alert, sent out by the Paediatric Intensive Care Society, urges doctors to "please refer children presenting with these symptoms as a matter of urgency," according to the HSJ. The condition has been found both among children who have tested positive for the coronavirus and those that have not. The symptoms of the condition are "toxic shock syndrome and atypical Kawasaki Disease with blood parameters consistent with severe COVID-19 in children," as well as "Abdominal pain and gastrointestinal symptoms" and "cardiac inflammation."
  8. The potential problem is that asymptomatic kids likely go home and interact with parents/grandparents and even siblings who have issues like heart conditions, diabetes, asthma, etc. that could be impacted. It's sometimes less the visible referent others and the secondary and, potentially, tertiary levels that become problematic in policy tied to direct-contact demographics.
  9. Ecuador. My daughter loved it there. When I was in high school, I had a couple of friends whose family was from Guayaquil.
  10. Great country. My daughter was there for about three weeks or so right after Christmas ... had a blast.
  11. Correct ... and they are also suspected to be more susceptible to COVID. Also, the numbers reported typically reflect those that are input from institutions when the death tends to happen there. There are many that have died at home that aren't showing up in the numbers or haven't been tested for cause pending scarcity of testing resources.
  12. I know this is probably blasphemy, but let's get through baseball first. 😀 A couple of the parents on my younger son's travel squad posted the following pics concerning baseball season:
  13. The problem you may run into is with smaller schools. There are some programs where the school does well enough in fielding teams for fall/spring, but if you had football competing with baseball ... two sports that require lots of kids and tends to have pretty decent cross-over at smaller schools ... you may be in a position where you can't field enough kids to do both of those in the same season. As an example, it appears that about a third of North Decatur's baseball team also plays football ... and the football team won a sectional last season. I'm not sure of the specific crossovers, but if you took 6-7 kids off of a 20-man baseball squad. With that said, I do like the idea of some flexibility/creative thinking to see about getting the kids some experience/activity in their sport. Would something like a 7-on-7 "rec-type" opportunity be available? There are plenty of 7-on-7 clinics out there, so there's definitely some experience in this area. It wouldn't be official, in the sense that you'd have a full-blown IHSAA season and full-sanctioned tourney, but I wonder if schools might be interested in looking at something like that if it came down to an all-on-none situation.
  14. Probably because they are older or because they aren't from the Big 12?
  15. TOP for Cardinals was one of the lowest in the league. Haven't looked at the details of how that happened though ... 3-and-outs vs. quick drive score, etc. Cardinals were at 27:41 ... by contrast, the Chiefs, who won it all, were at 29.27. Top of the league for TOP was Ravens at 34:47.
  16. Mayfield's taller than Brees. Mayfield's problem is that he plays for the Browns. Also, the Cardinals were 3-13 in 2018 under Rosen who was 6'4". Russell Wilson is only an inch taller than Murray and two inches shorter than Mayfield. His Seahawks finished 2nd in the NFC West. Guess that inch makes all the difference when running RPO.
  17. Cardinals were ranked Top 10 in rushing last season and 24 in passing ... with more rushing than passing on whole. They were also in the Top 10 when rushing to the left and center that went for 10+ yards including #1 in number of 10+ rushes right in the center. They were Top 10 in rushing TDs and rushing yards.
  18. The point is that the numbers don't fit the narrative ... and, in particular when you attempted to link Texas high school football, RPO, and the Big 12 they really don't match up. BTW, looking at the Big 12 players that played in this year's NFL playoffs, that played ball in Texas high schools, again, the numbers don't match the narrative. The Big 12 had 55 players on active rosters for the NFL playoff teams. 20 of those played high school ball in Texas. The breakdown of positions: 9 Linemen - 3 Defensive, 6 Offensive ... some of these are just standing around doing nothing on offense 7 LB/DB - only 1 LB 3 Backs/Receivers - 1 QB and 2 WRs 1 K Even if you do offense/defense, the split is about even with 9 offense, 10 defense, 1 special. If you are talking skill positions, those folks in the 7-on-7 scenario that's been pitched for the RPO, that drops down to just 3 out of 20. Even if you focus on a single school like University of Texas and assume that every one of their players came from the state of Texas, the 33 draft picks for the last 10 years breakdown as: 7 Linemen - 6 defensive and one offensive 19 Dbacks and LBs - 9 of these are LBs 6 Backs/Receivers/TE 1 P Anyone who follows tu football, and even as a rival Aggie I know about what they are known for, you know that they are big on DBs. Again, the narrative isn't supported by the numbers. Toss in the score analysis that @Bonecrusher tossed in and it might be better maybe going to another state to try to support the narrative.
  19. https://www.heartlandcollegesports.com/2019/04/28/2019-nfl-draft-a-list-of-every-big-12-player-selected/ About 22 through Round 6. 9 QB/RB/WR ... 2/3/4 1 TE 6 OLine OG/OT 2/4 2 DE 2 LB 1 DB 1 K While there are offensive players in the mix, your previous posts have indicated that the OLine guys don't really play in the mix of things. Really what you are looking at is 10 offensive skill QB/WR/RB, counting the TE if you want to count hands, and six "lineman standing around and watching the proceedings." Of the four guys that are identified as playing Texas high school ball in that group ... Murray, Collier, Evans, and Omenihu ... one is a QB, two are DEs, and one is an OT. There are four that are merely listed as USA for their hometown. Of those, one is an RB, one is a WR, one is an OT, and the other an LB.
  20. https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2020/04/02/who-paid-for-russias-coronavirus-aid-to-the-us-a69839 https://www.newsweek.com/us-struggles-coronavirus-china-russia-opportunity-1495624 https://www.irishtimes.com/news/world/europe/putin-is-crazy-russian-leader-lambasted-over-us-coronavirus-aid-1.4218952 Putin playing chess on a whole different level here. Take a look at Central and South America as well as Africa in the past.
  21. Already pointed out the fallacy in your numbers using the Top 50. There are 13 of 23 at one school ... BTW 23 is less than half of 50, so it's not close to a "high majority." About the best you could be saying about that is that University of Texas plays lackluster ball. Even then, in 2018 they were #15 in the CFS final ranking. Even looking at last year, where Texas finished 8-5, Texas lost to National Champion, LSU, by 7 points, eventual #4 OU by 7 points, eventual #7 Baylor by 14 points, and then routed #11 Utah 38-10. Of the other places where the top 50 went, again, in the Big 12, two programs were in the Top 10 last season, and as pointed out, two of the last three years, the #1 draft pick for the NFL came out of that league and, in the two years, Texas split a pair of games with that team with the difference being no more than a TD in both games. Your initial post was ... It didn't specify Top 50, but a presentation of both Top 50 and the full numbers indicate that the idea that somehow Texas athletes suffer competitiveness because they make up a chunk of players in the Big 12 again isn't born out by the numbers. So whether we're talking Top 50 or Texas athletes at FBS in general, the attempt to somehow or another undermine the competitiveness of Texas athletes isn't born out by the numbers.
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