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Alduflux

Booster 2023-24
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Everything posted by Alduflux

  1. I would mention six season ending losses in semi-state or state to Catholic schools.
  2. That was before GS invented football so it doesn't count.
  3. I'd say it is NP's year. If it's not, then I can't imagine it would ever be their year.
  4. I'm guessing MD is the best 3-7 2A team in the state, but they are 3-7 for a reason. This isn't last year's team. It should be MD +15. I think it is actually Castle -36
  5. It is amazing a team like Central can go from conference champs to this overnight. They go from 13-1 to 2-28 since.
  6. MD has to win state to avoid their first losing season since 2008. Can they do it?
  7. The entire state will be connected after round 1. No, but one can dream of the day when pesky high schooler's don't get in the way.
  8. This is the week the SIAC connects to the state on Sagarin. Only VL (-51.53), MD (-28.37) and Harrison (+8.65) play non-SIAC opponents. Expect major downgrading of the SIAC on Sagarin as those three schools will likely under perform collectively (-71.25)
  9. Bosse is a trap game for Jasper. Sloppy play and turnovers would mean a Jasper loss.
  10. It's hard to believe a team with these numbers only wins three games. I really wish they were still in 3a.
  11. The recent history for those schools is SR beats Linton four years in a row, loses year five, then has them replaced with Washington. HH replaces VL with MD (a big upgrade at the time), loses two years in a row, then replaces them with Mt. Vernon. I've never gotten an answer as to why either series ended. (SR v Linton, HH v MD) Both seamed to make sense from a schedule and competitive standpoint. In the new PAC most non-conference games are cross division. The only non-PAC games with 3a or larger schools are Washington vs Edgewood (4a) and Tell City vs Hancock County (3a if they were Indiana), and GS vs IMG acadamy.
  12. I prefer competitive scheduling and conference alignments should always be reevaluated to encourage it. The article touches on aspect of that. The article suggests big match-ups between SIAC, PAC, and Indy schools could happen if the conference wasn't closed. I agree, that could happen. But considering it basically rarely or never happened prior to a closed conference, I'm not sure why it would happen if the conference opened up.
  13. ...additionally, the improvement of VL and Bosse make this the deepest the conference has been since expansion.
  14. The conference Sagarin ratings are particularly odd this year. Typically the conference is drastically overvalued or undervalued before being connected during round one. This year the conference is overvalued. Currently the conference has 8 of the top 10 ranked teams in the state on predictor with only the SIAC wanna-be's Brownsburg and Center Grove rounding out the top 10. Typically the in conference Sagarin rankings match closely the actual standings. This year that did not happen at the top. I don't understand this at all but I suspect Sagarin might have wrong game results for North or Reitz to account for them being switched in the rankings. I included the final 2022 standings after state. I expect the final ratings after state to place Reitz in the 20's and the 6-3 second place teams to be in the 30-60 range. SIAC 2023 standings after week 9 CONF. RANK STATE RANK TEAM OVERALL RATING SCHEDULE STRENGTH RANK RECENT RATING RANK PREDICTOR RATING RANK 1 9 Evansville North 93.52 75.95 27 84.45 23 114.48 2 2 11 Evansville Reitz 92.59 74.86 28 82.39 28 119.82 1 3 14 Jasper 86.77 76.19 26 76.23 38 108.85 4 4 28 Castle 82.70 76.52 25 70.75 52 110.62 3 5 33 Evansville Memorial 79.11 76.90 24 66.19 70 106.86 6 6 35 Vincennes Lincoln 77.87 77.55 23 64.47 80 108.72 5 7 41 Evansville Bosse 74.91 77.84 22 61.74 87 101.13 7 8 46 Evansville Mater Dei 73.84 78.42 19 61.30 90 97.21 10 9 136 Evansville Harrison 51.95 79.92 17 28.98 224 79.06 32 10 170 Evansville Central 44.54 79.92 18 17.13 256 69.56 55 2022 SIAC Final standings after state. CONF. RANK STATE RANK TEAM OVERALL RATING SCHEDULE STRENGTH RANK RECENT RATING RANK PREDICTOR RATING RANK 1 37 Evansville Mater Dei 76.26 57.90 83 81.93 31 70.42 61 2 43 Evansville Reitz 75.01 58.31 82 72.52 50 75.39 42 3 48 Evansville Memorial 73.26 62.46 63 77.21 38 69.33 64 4 49 Castle 73.26 62.61 62 77.15 39 69.27 66 5 64 Jasper 69.63 62.86 60 74.50 46 64.16 81 6 87 Evansville North 62.38 61.38 70 61.91 90 62.48 89 7 97 Vincennes Lincoln 59.97 64.10 55 58.30 103 63.28 87 8 158 Evansville Harrison 47.41 63.79 56 47.19 156 46.84 158 9 199 Evansville Bosse 37.42 65.59 52 40.46 188 33.44 211 10 243 Evansville Central 26.15 66.42 48 24.67 246 27.32 240
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