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Posted

Predict a Matchup Tool (using Sagarin ratings)

Caston is a 4.5-point favorite at North Miami with a 0.6-point HFA.
Win probability: Caston 62.67%, North Miami 37.33%.

Culver is a 0.5-point favorite at Triton with a 0.6-point HFA.
Win probability: Culver 51.44%, Triton 48.56%.

North Judson is a 37.0-point favorite at S. Central (UM) with a 0.6-point HFA.
Win probability: North Judson 98.61%, S. Central (UM) 1.39%.

Winamac is a 14.5-point favorite at Pioneer with a 0.6-point HFA.
Win probability: Winamac 84.15%, Pioneer 15.85%.

 

 

Posted
20 minutes ago, hhpatriot04 said:

Predict a Matchup Tool (using Sagarin ratings)

Caston is a 4.5-point favorite at North Miami with a 0.6-point HFA.
Win probability: Caston 62.67%, North Miami 37.33%.

Culver is a 0.5-point favorite at Triton with a 0.6-point HFA.
Win probability: Culver 51.44%, Triton 48.56%.

North Judson is a 37.0-point favorite at S. Central (UM) with a 0.6-point HFA.
Win probability: North Judson 98.61%, S. Central (UM) 1.39%.

Winamac is a 14.5-point favorite at Pioneer with a 0.6-point HFA.
Win probability: Winamac 84.15%, Pioneer 15.85%.

 

 

Give me Caston, Triton, NJ and Pioneer in a close game. 

 

Winamac being a 14.5 favorite...WOW 

 

 

Posted
3 minutes ago, Jays said:

Give me Caston, Triton, NJ and Pioneer in a close game. 

 

Winamac being a 14.5 favorite...WOW 

 

 

Winamac gets to be favored for beating up on the MWC????

This isn't 2013!

  • Haha 2
Posted
8 minutes ago, Jays said:

Give me Caston, Triton, NJ and Pioneer in a close game. 

 

Winamac being a 14.5 favorite...WOW 

 

 

37 points is huge...

14.5 points makes you get more than two TDs... bettors would love it.

This early in the season, the computer ratings are not reliable. 

I have all the actual game results since 1999. Sagarin reaches peak accuracy after 4-5 games. Then it starts predicting over 80-percent correctly (88% correct since 1999).

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