1. What makes you think their D is better than last year? Knowles? They still haven’t played a competent offense (sorry Notre Dame fans).
2. Can the case be made that Penn State is light years better than ND and Indiana could play with ND? If so, remind me who was in control of the ND/OSU game for 3 quarters? Can’t pick and choose.
3. A running game travels better than a passing game in the unpredictable Midwest in late November. Stroud, Harrison, JSN, etc are absolute studs but if weather is a factor (likely) and Michigan can run the ball and keep the OSU offense on the sideline, I love their chances.
4. Revenge is such a dumb metric to cite when predicting a sporting event. Is OSU suddenly going to play harder because they lost last year? Come on. If so, I had been waiting on “revenge” for over a decade prior to last season.
5. The Vegas line has dropped from -14 (preseason) to -8.5 (currently).