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Everything posted by hhpatriot04
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Predictor Tool baby!
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The man behind the name John Harrell
hhpatriot04 replied to MuleDriver's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
Ha, no (he is very vulnerable to data loss and I'd be interested to know what kinds of redudency he has built in both online and offline). And he did kind of cheat and get IU's computer science or statistics department to allow Jeff Sagarin to use their "supercomputers" in the 1980s to do basketball ratings in the 1980s which were published in the Bloomington paper and then picked up by The Star and others, eventually. Sagarin won't fully reveal how he does his ratings because some are used directly or indirectly by companies and organizations like the NCAA, PGA Tour, USA Today, casinos, etc... Just as someone has written a book about Bill James, Jeff Sagarin's story needs to be told. Everything is proprietary (or based on other statistical work/proofs), but I'm not sure he makes much from it other than ad revenue, whatever books he has written, conferences spoken at etc... -
The man behind the name John Harrell
hhpatriot04 replied to MuleDriver's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
His website loads as fast in 1999 on dial-up in Paoli as it does today for me on high speed in Iraq. He is a machine who shows how persistence can pay off. Talk about legacy... -
How is the school corporation's attendance trending in the middle and elementary schools? In 5-10 years, do you expect Southridge to have a higher or lower attendance than what it does now. Being on the line (and even if you could convince Tecumseh), perhaps attendance was a factor. Seeing the Jasper game go is just a travesty, but other than that, I can see the Southridge side of it.
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Jasper pulls an upset at Boonville ... really though, look at Sagarin's ratings. Even though Week 2, how is Jasper a 4-TD favorite? Mount Vernon because I have no idea about Mount Carmel and it's a shame they are leaving the Big 8 (honestly, their city council would probably agree to be annexed to the State of Indiana ... as would the southern third of Illinois) Princeton ... surely Princeton has played Washington more than any other team in football and basketball, right? That's reason enough. Floyd Central (59.69) is a 16-point favorite (1.69-point home-field advantage) against Vincennes (45.22)
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Reminder for me or someone else to dig out this thread from the old forum using WaybackMachine.org
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The man behind the name John Harrell
hhpatriot04 replied to MuleDriver's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
I had the opportunity to sit on the same computer that he had used at the Bloomington Herald-Times when I was there in 2014-15. He is a legend. He automated many processes in the late 1980s and 1990s via computer and we would occasionally have to call him in to "update" his old scripts for the newspaper. His work in Java (.json and Regex) really taught me that not everything has to be complicated and served as my inspiration for the Predictor Tool. He was going to introduce me to Jeff Sagarin, but we never had schedules which match up. Oh well, next time that I'm in Bloomington perhaps we'll be able to do it. The IHSAA, coaches and officials' associations, principals, ADs and fans owe him more than the measley ad revenue he earns through the website. -
This post is too close to "endzone cameras" ... thus we must close it. Sorry.
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Endzone Cameras
hhpatriot04 replied to Tanka Jahari's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
Send me a quote. I'm very interested. Go ahead and send the account and routing numbers. If you send your pin, do I get a discount? Can you send me a formal quote based on conference, sectional, regional, semis, state winning? I intend to invest in this venture. -
Endzone Cameras
hhpatriot04 replied to Tanka Jahari's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
Money is a no object when it comes to the advantage endzone cams give in INHSFB. State finals or bust. -
Endzone Cameras
hhpatriot04 replied to Tanka Jahari's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
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Cathedral 28, Cincinnati Moeller 0
hhpatriot04 replied to PHJIrish's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
Thanks for reminding me to watch the 30 for 30 documentary on Larry Legend. Although a quick YouTube search returned @dawgieinthepound sneaking out of his parents' house to Nat Town to get something that looked like an "American" hotdog smothered in ketchup and ground beef. My great aunt (Carmel native) and late uncle who founded and presided Over-the-Rhine in Cincinnati would be disappointed at the lack of sauerkraut and spicy mustard. Indiana ... home of vice presidents! Back on topic ... When can we get a three-year superweekend, two games on Friday, two games on Saturday between Indy, Cincy, and Louisville teams in one of the cities each year? Ohio can even have four teams (population), Indiana 2, Kentucky 2. I think FOX Midwest or Sports would definitely want to cover it, just keep it away from ESPN and Herbstreit's forays into HS football. -
Forest Park (Ferdinand, Ind.) and Harvard standout TE Ben Braunecker may finally get some targets if Burton is a gameday decision (groin). Braunecker is a standup guy and will have a heck of a career post-NFL, regardless. Just throw him the dang ball this year. He's much more than a special teams and blocking TE. Great hands and has suceeded in subpar HS and college programs. https://www.nbcsports.com/chicago/bears/bears-feel-confident-contingency-plan-if-trey-burton-groin-injury-questionable-cant-play-against-green-bay
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Cathedral 28, Cincinnati Moeller 0
hhpatriot04 replied to PHJIrish's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
Indiana: Cathedral, The 500, and Michael Jackson... Ohio: Moeller, King's Island, and BronBron -
Buehlor?
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Top 15 Statewide Classes 1A-4A
hhpatriot04 replied to hhpatriot04's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
Lafayette is north of Marion County and near a certain university with Black and Gold as its colors, right? This southerner doesn't know much about areas which claim to be a part of the Hoosier state north of Westfield! The sprawl is going to make it all the way to Iowa if we don't watch out. Conspiracy. -
Top 15 Statewide Classes 1A-4A
hhpatriot04 replied to hhpatriot04's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
Forgot they were in 4A. Fixed. -
Hello Community, I've revived the Indiana High School Football Game Predictor Tool that strictly uses Jeff Sagarin's predictor rating and the option of factoring in homefield advantage. Keep in mind that Sagarin only uses direct data from Indiana teams vs. other Indiana teams (no out-of-state games). For improvements, please let me know in this thread if you find errors in computation or otherwise or layout or if you have general feature requests/improvements. Enjoy! Win probability (percentage) is added.
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S.I.A.C. Week 3
hhpatriot04 replied to Evansville50's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
Bosse at Central Harrison at Mater Dei North at Memorial Reitz at Castle -
Beating Jasper may not be a win anymore against a Top 10 team in Class 4A, but it is a quality win and a game that unless you are a top tier team in Class 3A or 4A, you can lose -- especially at Alumni Stadium. Jasper is a solid opponent and their luck recently in the sectional shouldn't diminish that too greatly. Everything is cyclical. Give the new system time. The stock and bloodlines run deep in Jasper. They are VERY successful in most other boys' sports, football will return to prominence. Jasper will also benefit in the coming years of attrition from surrounding schools. Many of my classmates and former teammates, for example, work in Jasper. Unlike their parents, they have chosen to live and work in Jasper rather than commute from Spencer County. I would imagine that other school districts are also suffering/benefitting from that phenomenon as well.
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Forest Park at Southridge Gibson Southern at North Posey Pike Central at Heritage Hills Tell City at South Spencer Shouldn't be too many surprises in the first three games. Will be interesting to see what the Raiders, Titans, and Patriots want to put on tape (maybe a fake punt, onside kick, fake PAT, try some reverses, etc...) ahead of their games which typically decide the conference. Tell City at South Spencer. If this were at Tell City, I'd be 100 percent behind the Marksmen. Usually South Spencer is dangerous because of 2-3 speedsters who can burn you despite any other issues and they get fired up for home games, especially those against locals like TC, OC, HH, and Boonville. If the Rebel offense finds some firepower, maybe this is interesting?
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After Week 2 1. East Central 2. Indianapolis Chatard 3. Mooresville 4. Evansville Reitz Memorial 5. Martinsville 6. East Noble 7. Gibson Southern 8. West Lafayette 9. Evansville F.J. Reitz 10. Marion 11. Evansville Central 12. Indianapolis Brebeuf Jesuit 13. Heritage Hills 14. Indianapolis Scecina Memorial 15. Southridge Post yours...
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Boonville at Vincennes
hhpatriot04 replied to SEAL_63's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
I forgot the closed schedules. Brain slip... Regardless let's see how long the new alignments hold. Something like (in some kind of order): *Mount Vernon Tell City *Boonville Southridge *Washington *Gibson Southern Jasper/Forest Park/other *Princeton South Spencer -
Boonville at Vincennes
hhpatriot04 replied to SEAL_63's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
Maybe time for Heritage Hills to add Boonville back to the schedule. There were unconfirmed rumors that Tell City would remain on HH's schedule moving forward. With Jasper taking a bit to adjust to its new coach, HH opening against Mount Vernon, Boonville, Pike Central, and then Jasper before the real PAC schedule starts would be a benefit. However, if Mater Dei continues to have problems finding a Week 2 opponent, perhaps Heritage Hills and the Wildcats should play again. It's always a tough call when you have a small roster as a 3A school to know when to "upgrade" and when you are risking injury by playing too hard of a SoS early in the season. Coach Ward is a class act and is the only coach who can say he was the last to beat Coach Clayton in a game where Coach Clayton's nephew gave a gutsy performance as running back with I believe a pulled hamstring. https://www.spencercountyjournal.com/content/corydon-ends-patriot-football-season-friday
