hhpatriot04

Now do Vincennes!

Sagarin's Predictor: Ben Davis (100.17) is a 24-point favorite vs. Carmel (78.65) and has about a 86.26% chance of winning (2.42-point home-field advantage). Last updated: 2023 September 23 Saturday 21:56:28.311 Central Standard Time = GMT/UTC-06:00 http://predictor.gridirondigest.net

Now do predictor.gridirondigest.net

Sagarin's Predictor (at Heritage Hills): Heritage Hills (69.9) is a 4.5-point favorite vs. Gibson Southern (67.61) and has about a 58.94% chance of winning (2.42-point home-field advantage). Sagarin still no love for the Titans... I predict Gibson will gain about two rating points per week and cap around a 9 point favorite on an even field. https:/predictor.gridirondigest.net/index.php

Great for Indiana teams to go and get wins wins against top regional teams. How were the matchups? Any interesting differences in rules or playstyle?

Wouldn't go that far. Roncalli has always been my darling. SW Indiana will see you at the state finals, bro.

I probably saw as many Chatard games as you last season bro 🤣

So both teams losing did in fact almost happen?

Heritage Hills 31, Gibson Southern 28 (injury timeouts) Kidding... Gibson Southern 31, Heritage Hills 28 - What a game. Gibson is a great team and could have run away with this one, but Heritage Hills strung some drives together late and kept it interesting. Bravo. Heritage Hills pulled a FG left just a few feet in Q2 that would have pushed this into OT. Gibson will put up at least six TDs on everyone until deep in the tourney. Some terrific football being played in SW Indiana right now. DeLong, Novotny and the Titans offense is just scary at the 3A level!

Baker had a better claim. He did a lot more on defense and special teams. You had to scheme against him. Chatard had a claim to be the No 1-3 team in the state when he played.

So to try and bring this full circle, in retrospect should the awatrd have gone to a lineman in any of those years?

I was not around then. What happened during the COVID season?

Dray Mason in this category? Great guy btw. I connected with him about 10 years ago and he was a stand up guy so humble

2019 bro

Sagarin Ratings (Week 5) 1. Carroll of FW (92.52) is a 4-point favorite vs. FW Snider (88.14) and has about a 57.86% chance of winning (0.25-point home-field advantage). 2. NorthWood (77.52) is a 11.5-point favorite vs. Warsaw (65.65) and has about a 70.93% chance of winning (0.25-point home-field advantage). 3. Southport (54.35) is a 13-point favorite vs. Beech Grove (40.91) and has about a 73.35% chance of winning (0.25-point home-field advantage). 4. Michigan City (64.97) is a 6-point favorite vs. Merrillville (59.46) and has about a 60.88% chance of winning (0.25-point home-field advantage). 5. Castle (74.44) is a 4.5-point favorite vs. Vincennes (69.51) and has about a 58.88% chance of winning (0.25-point home-field advantage). 6. Pioneer (48.11) is a 4.5-point favorite vs. Hamm. Central (44.03) and has about a 58.23% chance of winning (0.25-point home-field advantage). 7. East Noble (81.78) is a 2-point favorite vs. Leo (79.91) and has about a 54.06% chance of winning (0.25-point home-field advantage). 8. SB St. Joseph (68.45) is a 9-point favorite vs. New Prairie (59.86) and has about a 66.34% chance of winning (0.25-point home-field advantage). 9. Gibson Southern (58.62) is a 3.5-point favorite vs. Southridge (55.3) and has about a 56.81% chance of winning (0.25-point home-field advantage). 10. Brownstown (56.9) is a 3.5-point favorite vs. North Harrison (53.79) and has about a 56.41% chance of winning (0.25-point home-field advantage). 11. Carroll of Flora (59.92) is a 2.5-point favorite vs. Eastern of Gtwn. (57.38) and has about a 54.38% chance of winning (0.25-point home-field advantage).

Weirdly, I can't find the full archive of the 2020 Ratings. If anyone has them, please share!

You can't directly compare year to year. The ratings aren't normalized. I'm going to make something to compare but I need to run the math with a stats person. I think to compare you have to do something like this: TeamRating1 / Year1AverageRatingofAllTeams minus (-) TeamRating2 / Year2AverageRatingofAllTeams

https://predictor.gridirondigest.net/SagarinRatings/Archives/ Here is back to 1999. If you find them farther back than this, please let me know. I'll gladly digitize them.

Chatard can do this. Trojans by 29 points.

Sagarin's Predictor https://predictor.gridirondigest.net/index.php 1. Brownsburg (100.37) is a 6.5-point favorite vs. Westfield (91.95) and has about a 61.79% chance of winning (2.16-point home-field advantage). 2. Crown Point (85.18) is a 7-point favorite vs. Valparaiso (80.41) and has about a 62.99% chance of winning (2.16-point home-field advantage). 3. Warsaw (76.45) is a 24-point favorite vs. Mish. Marian (50.51) and has about a 86.12% chance of winning (2.16-point home-field advantage). 4. New Haven (76.49) is a 11-point favorite vs. Columbia City (67.62) and has about a 69.99% chance of winning (2.16-point home-field advantage). 5. New Palestine (81.32) is a 2-point favorite vs. Greenfield (76.95) and has about a 54.23% chance of winning (2.16-point home-field advantage). 6. Heritage Hills (79.14) is a 5.5-point favorite vs. Gibson Southern (71.57) and has about a 60.23% chance of winning (2.16-point home-field advantage). 7. Batesville (69.39) is a 0.5-point favorite vs. Lawrenceburg (66.54) and has about a 51.32% chance of winning (2.16-point home-field advantage). 8. LaVille (57.3) vs. Knox (59.44) is a draw (2.16-point home-field advantage). I'll take Knox. 9. Centerville (53.36) is a 8-point favorite vs. Northeastern (47.46) and has about a 64.99% chance of winning (2.16-point home-field advantage). 10. Fountain Cent. (38.32) is a 0.5-point favorite vs. Seeger (39.84) and has about a 51.23% chance of winning (2.16-point home-field advantage). 11. Milan (54.55) is a 0.5-point favorite vs. Eastern Hancock (56.25) and has about a 50.88% chance of winning (2.16-point home-field advantage). If you guys will allow it, I'll use the Ratings from the previous corresponding weeks to catch up to your picks. I think it will be an interesting case study to use Sagarin all season and see where the picks end up. If you see any mistakes, please let me know so I can improve the tool!

At one point in the 00s, Southern Indiana (Bloomington, Vincennes and Santa Claus) touted three active NFL quarterbacks concurrently (Rexman, Cutler and Painter).

Any chance he had of winning it after dominating Roncalli and scrubs from Southridge was likely squandered away after an abissmal state championship game (as a QB). I think he still holds the 3A finals record for 21 or 22 tackles as a strong safety. Rumor has it that Illinois pulled his scholarship after the state game...

Wasn't there still a high school in St Meinrad?

Needs to play FB and pad the stats with at least five touchdowns.

Sagarin's Predictor Heritage Hills (79.14) is a 5.5-point favorite vs. Gibson Southern (71.57) and has about a 60.23% chance of winning (2.16-point home-field advantage).