hhpatriot04

I saw both teams three or four times each last season. I know Cathedral recruits well, but I'll take the Little Giants based on my watching zero of their games. Am I keeping up with TGD median fan?

What's the going rate for a fourth grader currently in the Castle system, below average size and speed, theatre and chorus skills? She's undecided with a 4.0 GPA and has had unofficial visits to Memorial, Castle, North and Gibson. Heritage Hills and British (father's side) pedigree without a drop of Roman Church blood in her though...

This thread is going places! Taking wagers on it lasting over/under to Sunday at noon. Deposits can be sent to my Paypal.

It means #IndyBound

Predictor.GridironDigest.net Back by popular demand 👋 @tango

Right the ship, steady the course. P L E A S E

But we are good to bring dead animal mascots?

Sagarin's Predictor: Ben Davis (103.31) is a 4-point favorite vs. Indy Cathedral (97.42) and has about a 57.39% chance of winning (2.01-point home-field advantage).

Just very concerned for and interested in you guys. Us PAC brethren have to stick together, you know? FYI: Sagarin's predictor Gibson Southern (78.1) is a 4.5-point favorite vs. Tri-West (71.61) and has about a 58.51% chance of winning (2.01-point home-field advantage). Do we still have this unspoken rule where we don't chat about our own teams on their game threads, but instead make passive-aggressive comments on each other's threads?

Interesting that both are 21 point margin of victories... Applying a certainty to rating differences is a bit of guesswork anyway. You're just trying to match a bellcurve to a dataset. For transparency, I use a modified "ELO to Win Percentage" formula. =1 / (1 + 10 ^(($margin)/ 30)) * 100 https://lacrossereference.com/2021/06/22/converting-elo-ratings-to-odds/

96/100 in anything involving teenagers playing a "game" is ridiculous statistically, especially for teams "in" the same class... Sagarin's ratings and my certainty algorithm puts it in the 80s. Sagarin's Predictor: East Central (97.18) is a 21-point favorite vs. Ev. Memorial (74.11) and has about a 83.43% chance of winning (2.01-point home-field advantage). (for reference...) Ben Davis (103.31) is a 27-point favorite vs. Ev. Memorial (74.11) and has about a 88.96% chance of winning. Ben Davis (103.31) is a 41.5-point favorite vs. Ev. Mater Dei (59.66) and has about a 96.07% chance of winning.

Good luck, PAC. As far as understand, the IHSAA can "group" classes in one of eight places/directions: Center to NE Center to SE Center to SW Center to NE NE to Center SE to Center SW to Center NW to Center I think this Commissioner is being more literal with the Class groupings than predecessors. I like the Titans but they will need to guard against looking ahead and may need a quarter to establish themselves. I like the Titans running game moving forward.

Thanks for the count: Hhpatriot 80, Batesville 23 /RIP

Cutler never played Batesville. Any R Wilson relatives on the squad? Hit the Go Route early and often. My footBalls are still cold from changing in your shed of a locker room... ONLY time I have looked forward to a four hour bus ride. Bulldog bro's mouthpiece finally fell out of orbit after the Seifrig hit and landed in Lincoln City #PreConcussionEra Dawgie once asked TA for "Extra cheese" on a *free* pizza... Regionals Scoreboard: Hhpatriot04 (4), Cutler (1) Coach G was a true PATRIOT driving 7 plus hours round trip to attend Coach Clayton's retirement. Batesville is good people. Rename northern Spencer County as "Lincoln, Indiana!" #PatriotPride /out

http://predictor.gridirondigest.net Thanks for the love! To clarify, the Predictor Tool (solely) uses Jeff Sagarin's Predictor value in conjunction with the corresponding homefield advantage value (currently 2.04 points) to make predictions. I updated the code to pull from Sagarin's Sectional ratings. Apologies, I had gotten behind. I am planning some new features: - Batch predictions (user's selections, conference, class, sectionals, etc...) - Graphics (team helmets) - Year-to-year predictions I have archived ALL of Sagarin's end of year ratings since 1999. If anyone knows of a source to go back farther, please let me know!

🤔

How about... Southport (38.53) is a 9.5-point favorite vs. TH North (31.35) and has about a 67.63% chance of winning (2.42-point home-field advantage).

Sagarin's Predictions 1. Fishers (96.39) is a 5.5-point favorite vs. Hamilton SE (92.29) and has about a 60.22% chance of winning (1.3-point home-field advantage). 2. Bedford NL (60.19) is a 9.5-point favorite vs. New Albany (51.85) and has about a 67.70% chance of winning (1.3-point home-field advantage). 3. Marion (41.25) is a 4-point favorite vs. Anderson (38.5) and has about a 57.71% chance of winning (1.3-point home-field advantage). 4. Pendleton Hts. (77.81) is a 3-point favorite vs. Greenfield (75.94) and has about a 56.05% chance of winning (1.3-point home-field advantage). 5. Brebeuf Jesuit (74.67) vs. Guerin Catholic (75.9) is a draw (1.3-point home-field advantage) 6. FW Wayne (57.19) is a 8.5-point favorite vs. FW Luers (50.07) and has about a 65.62% chance of winning (1.3-point home-field advantage). 7. Tri-West (71.79) is a 8.5-point favorite vs. Western Boone (61.94) and has about a 65.84% chance of winning (1.3-point home-field advaadvantage.) 8. Heritage (82.31) is a 29.5-point favorite vs. South Adams (51.46) and has about a 90.62% chance of winning (1.3-point home-field advantage). 9. Knox (58.8) vs. North Judson (60.3) is a draw (1.3-point home-field advantage) <I'll take Knox> 10. Linton (58.54) is a 6.5-point favorite vs. Sullivan (50.87) and has about a 61.99% chance of winning (1.3-point home-field advantage). 11. Bremen (51.72) is a 4.5-point favorite vs. Triton (46.15) and has about a 58.12% chance of winning (1.3-point home-field advantage).

Illegal. Maybe not by the letter but he's breaking the spirit of the rules.

Sagarin's Predictions 1. Southport (38.53) is a 9.5-point favorite vs. TH North (31.35) and has about a 67.63% chance of winning (2.42-point home-field advantage). 2. Perry Meridian (71.52) is a 7.5-point favorite vs. Martinsville (66.45) and has about a 63.99% chance of winning (2.42-point home-field advantage). 3. Concord (78.37) is a 7.5-point favorite vs. Northridge (73.21) and has about a 64.15% chance of winning (2.42-point home-field advantage). 4. Floyd Central (67.14) is a 4.5-point favorite vs. Bedford NL (65.17) and has about a 58.34% chance of winning (2.42-point home-field advantage). 5. Ev. North (75.38) is a 5-point favorite vs. Vincennes (72.71) and has about a 59.64% chance of winning (2.42-point home-field advantage). 6. Ev. Reitz (84.88) is a 16.5-point favorite vs. Ev. Memorial (70.88) and has about a 77.91% chance of winning (2.42-point home-field advantage). 7. Heritage (69.9) is a 9.5-point favorite vs. Bluffton (62.71) and has about a 67.65% chance of winning (2.42-point home-field advantage). 8. Lafayette CC (62.12) is a 8-point favorite vs. Twin Lakes (51.46) and has about a 65.3% chance of winning (2.42-point home-field advantage). 9. Tritn Central (73.61) is a 17.5-point favorite vs. Indy Scecina (58.32) and has about a 79.56% chance of winning (2.42-point home-field advantage). 10. Hagerstown (46.92) is a 0.5-point favorite vs. Winchester (44.14) and has about a 50.69% chance of winning (2.42-point home-field advantage). 11. Providence (58.21) is a 5-point favorite vs. Milan (55.68) and has about a 59.39% chance of winning (2.42-point home-field advantage).

Supposedly the alignments change and shift because the IHSAA alternates the directions from which it starts grouping teams. For example, one cycle they might start from Meridian and Washington, then go either NE, SE, NW, or SW. The next cycle, they start in the NW corner of the state then start grouping teams, then SE, NE, SW, repeat... Clear as mud?

@DK_Barons who walks the dark bowels of TGD 24/7 to keep us rollin.

You might be able to use Sagarin's one class basketball sectional optimization for this: http://sagarin.com/sports/yeawildcats.htm

Sagarin's Predictor: Indy Chatard (87.21) is a 34.5-point favorite vs. Andrean (54.97) and has about a 93.46% chance of winning (2.42-point home-field advantage). Last updated: 2023 September 23 Saturday 21:56:28.311 Central Standard Time = GMT/UTC-06:00

All of the (known) end of year Sagarin Ratings are now archived and linked on the Predictor Tool. http://predictor.gridirondigest.net Also, the homefield advantage is now 2.42 points (for the past three. weeks)