hhpatriot04

96/100 in anything involving teenagers playing a "game" is ridiculous statistically, especially for teams "in" the same class... Sagarin's ratings and my certainty algorithm puts it in the 80s. Sagarin's Predictor: East Central (97.18) is a 21-point favorite vs. Ev. Memorial (74.11) and has about a 83.43% chance of winning (2.01-point home-field advantage). (for reference...) Ben Davis (103.31) is a 27-point favorite vs. Ev. Memorial (74.11) and has about a 88.96% chance of winning. Ben Davis (103.31) is a 41.5-point favorite vs. Ev. Mater Dei (59.66) and has about a 96.07% chance of winning.

Good luck, PAC. As far as understand, the IHSAA can "group" classes in one of eight places/directions: Center to NE Center to SE Center to SW Center to NE NE to Center SE to Center SW to Center NW to Center I think this Commissioner is being more literal with the Class groupings than predecessors. I like the Titans but they will need to guard against looking ahead and may need a quarter to establish themselves. I like the Titans running game moving forward.

Thanks for the count: Hhpatriot 80, Batesville 23 /RIP

Cutler never played Batesville. Any R Wilson relatives on the squad? Hit the Go Route early and often. My footBalls are still cold from changing in your shed of a locker room... ONLY time I have looked forward to a four hour bus ride. Bulldog bro's mouthpiece finally fell out of orbit after the Seifrig hit and landed in Lincoln City #PreConcussionEra Dawgie once asked TA for "Extra cheese" on a *free* pizza... Regionals Scoreboard: Hhpatriot04 (4), Cutler (1) Coach G was a true PATRIOT driving 7 plus hours round trip to attend Coach Clayton's retirement. Batesville is good people. Rename northern Spencer County as "Lincoln, Indiana!" #PatriotPride /out

http://predictor.gridirondigest.net Thanks for the love! To clarify, the Predictor Tool (solely) uses Jeff Sagarin's Predictor value in conjunction with the corresponding homefield advantage value (currently 2.04 points) to make predictions. I updated the code to pull from Sagarin's Sectional ratings. Apologies, I had gotten behind. I am planning some new features: - Batch predictions (user's selections, conference, class, sectionals, etc...) - Graphics (team helmets) - Year-to-year predictions I have archived ALL of Sagarin's end of year ratings since 1999. If anyone knows of a source to go back farther, please let me know!

🤔

How about... Southport (38.53) is a 9.5-point favorite vs. TH North (31.35) and has about a 67.63% chance of winning (2.42-point home-field advantage).

Sagarin's Predictions 1. Fishers (96.39) is a 5.5-point favorite vs. Hamilton SE (92.29) and has about a 60.22% chance of winning (1.3-point home-field advantage). 2. Bedford NL (60.19) is a 9.5-point favorite vs. New Albany (51.85) and has about a 67.70% chance of winning (1.3-point home-field advantage). 3. Marion (41.25) is a 4-point favorite vs. Anderson (38.5) and has about a 57.71% chance of winning (1.3-point home-field advantage). 4. Pendleton Hts. (77.81) is a 3-point favorite vs. Greenfield (75.94) and has about a 56.05% chance of winning (1.3-point home-field advantage). 5. Brebeuf Jesuit (74.67) vs. Guerin Catholic (75.9) is a draw (1.3-point home-field advantage) 6. FW Wayne (57.19) is a 8.5-point favorite vs. FW Luers (50.07) and has about a 65.62% chance of winning (1.3-point home-field advantage). 7. Tri-West (71.79) is a 8.5-point favorite vs. Western Boone (61.94) and has about a 65.84% chance of winning (1.3-point home-field advaadvantage.) 8. Heritage (82.31) is a 29.5-point favorite vs. South Adams (51.46) and has about a 90.62% chance of winning (1.3-point home-field advantage). 9. Knox (58.8) vs. North Judson (60.3) is a draw (1.3-point home-field advantage) <I'll take Knox> 10. Linton (58.54) is a 6.5-point favorite vs. Sullivan (50.87) and has about a 61.99% chance of winning (1.3-point home-field advantage). 11. Bremen (51.72) is a 4.5-point favorite vs. Triton (46.15) and has about a 58.12% chance of winning (1.3-point home-field advantage).

Illegal. Maybe not by the letter but he's breaking the spirit of the rules.

Sagarin's Predictions 1. Southport (38.53) is a 9.5-point favorite vs. TH North (31.35) and has about a 67.63% chance of winning (2.42-point home-field advantage). 2. Perry Meridian (71.52) is a 7.5-point favorite vs. Martinsville (66.45) and has about a 63.99% chance of winning (2.42-point home-field advantage). 3. Concord (78.37) is a 7.5-point favorite vs. Northridge (73.21) and has about a 64.15% chance of winning (2.42-point home-field advantage). 4. Floyd Central (67.14) is a 4.5-point favorite vs. Bedford NL (65.17) and has about a 58.34% chance of winning (2.42-point home-field advantage). 5. Ev. North (75.38) is a 5-point favorite vs. Vincennes (72.71) and has about a 59.64% chance of winning (2.42-point home-field advantage). 6. Ev. Reitz (84.88) is a 16.5-point favorite vs. Ev. Memorial (70.88) and has about a 77.91% chance of winning (2.42-point home-field advantage). 7. Heritage (69.9) is a 9.5-point favorite vs. Bluffton (62.71) and has about a 67.65% chance of winning (2.42-point home-field advantage). 8. Lafayette CC (62.12) is a 8-point favorite vs. Twin Lakes (51.46) and has about a 65.3% chance of winning (2.42-point home-field advantage). 9. Tritn Central (73.61) is a 17.5-point favorite vs. Indy Scecina (58.32) and has about a 79.56% chance of winning (2.42-point home-field advantage). 10. Hagerstown (46.92) is a 0.5-point favorite vs. Winchester (44.14) and has about a 50.69% chance of winning (2.42-point home-field advantage). 11. Providence (58.21) is a 5-point favorite vs. Milan (55.68) and has about a 59.39% chance of winning (2.42-point home-field advantage).

Supposedly the alignments change and shift because the IHSAA alternates the directions from which it starts grouping teams. For example, one cycle they might start from Meridian and Washington, then go either NE, SE, NW, or SW. The next cycle, they start in the NW corner of the state then start grouping teams, then SE, NE, SW, repeat... Clear as mud?

@DK_Barons who walks the dark bowels of TGD 24/7 to keep us rollin.

You might be able to use Sagarin's one class basketball sectional optimization for this: http://sagarin.com/sports/yeawildcats.htm

Sagarin's Predictor: Indy Chatard (87.21) is a 34.5-point favorite vs. Andrean (54.97) and has about a 93.46% chance of winning (2.42-point home-field advantage). Last updated: 2023 September 23 Saturday 21:56:28.311 Central Standard Time = GMT/UTC-06:00

All of the (known) end of year Sagarin Ratings are now archived and linked on the Predictor Tool. http://predictor.gridirondigest.net Also, the homefield advantage is now 2.42 points (for the past three. weeks)

Now do Vincennes!

Sagarin's Predictor: Ben Davis (100.17) is a 24-point favorite vs. Carmel (78.65) and has about a 86.26% chance of winning (2.42-point home-field advantage). Last updated: 2023 September 23 Saturday 21:56:28.311 Central Standard Time = GMT/UTC-06:00 http://predictor.gridirondigest.net

Now do predictor.gridirondigest.net

Sagarin's Predictor (at Heritage Hills): Heritage Hills (69.9) is a 4.5-point favorite vs. Gibson Southern (67.61) and has about a 58.94% chance of winning (2.42-point home-field advantage). Sagarin still no love for the Titans... I predict Gibson will gain about two rating points per week and cap around a 9 point favorite on an even field. https:/predictor.gridirondigest.net/index.php

Great for Indiana teams to go and get wins wins against top regional teams. How were the matchups? Any interesting differences in rules or playstyle?

Wouldn't go that far. Roncalli has always been my darling. SW Indiana will see you at the state finals, bro.

I probably saw as many Chatard games as you last season bro 🤣

So both teams losing did in fact almost happen?

Heritage Hills 31, Gibson Southern 28 (injury timeouts) Kidding... Gibson Southern 31, Heritage Hills 28 - What a game. Gibson is a great team and could have run away with this one, but Heritage Hills strung some drives together late and kept it interesting. Bravo. Heritage Hills pulled a FG left just a few feet in Q2 that would have pushed this into OT. Gibson will put up at least six TDs on everyone until deep in the tourney. Some terrific football being played in SW Indiana right now. DeLong, Novotny and the Titans offense is just scary at the 3A level!

Baker had a better claim. He did a lot more on defense and special teams. You had to scheme against him. Chatard had a claim to be the No 1-3 team in the state when he played.