-
Posts
1,269 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
2
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Gallery
Store
Articles
Events
Everything posted by hhpatriot04
-
Mr. Football Favorites?
hhpatriot04 replied to FridayNightLights's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
So to try and bring this full circle, in retrospect should the awatrd have gone to a lineman in any of those years? -
I was not around then. What happened during the COVID season?
-
Mr. Football Favorites?
hhpatriot04 replied to FridayNightLights's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
Dray Mason in this category? Great guy btw. I connected with him about 10 years ago and he was a stand up guy so humble -
Is the edit function not currently enabled?
hhpatriot04 replied to a topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
2019 bro -
GID Pick ‘Em Week 5
hhpatriot04 replied to scarab527's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
Sagarin Ratings (Week 5) 1. Carroll of FW (92.52) is a 4-point favorite vs. FW Snider (88.14) and has about a 57.86% chance of winning (0.25-point home-field advantage). 2. NorthWood (77.52) is a 11.5-point favorite vs. Warsaw (65.65) and has about a 70.93% chance of winning (0.25-point home-field advantage). 3. Southport (54.35) is a 13-point favorite vs. Beech Grove (40.91) and has about a 73.35% chance of winning (0.25-point home-field advantage). 4. Michigan City (64.97) is a 6-point favorite vs. Merrillville (59.46) and has about a 60.88% chance of winning (0.25-point home-field advantage). 5. Castle (74.44) is a 4.5-point favorite vs. Vincennes (69.51) and has about a 58.88% chance of winning (0.25-point home-field advantage). 6. Pioneer (48.11) is a 4.5-point favorite vs. Hamm. Central (44.03) and has about a 58.23% chance of winning (0.25-point home-field advantage). 7. East Noble (81.78) is a 2-point favorite vs. Leo (79.91) and has about a 54.06% chance of winning (0.25-point home-field advantage). 8. SB St. Joseph (68.45) is a 9-point favorite vs. New Prairie (59.86) and has about a 66.34% chance of winning (0.25-point home-field advantage). 9. Gibson Southern (58.62) is a 3.5-point favorite vs. Southridge (55.3) and has about a 56.81% chance of winning (0.25-point home-field advantage). 10. Brownstown (56.9) is a 3.5-point favorite vs. North Harrison (53.79) and has about a 56.41% chance of winning (0.25-point home-field advantage). 11. Carroll of Flora (59.92) is a 2.5-point favorite vs. Eastern of Gtwn. (57.38) and has about a 54.38% chance of winning (0.25-point home-field advantage). -
Weirdly, I can't find the full archive of the 2020 Ratings. If anyone has them, please share!
-
You can't directly compare year to year. The ratings aren't normalized. I'm going to make something to compare but I need to run the math with a stats person. I think to compare you have to do something like this: TeamRating1 / Year1AverageRatingofAllTeams minus (-) TeamRating2 / Year2AverageRatingofAllTeams
-
https://predictor.gridirondigest.net/SagarinRatings/Archives/ Here is back to 1999. If you find them farther back than this, please let me know. I'll gladly digitize them.
-
3A #1 Chatard @ 3A #2 Guerin
hhpatriot04 replied to Tin Cup's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
Chatard can do this. Trojans by 29 points. -
GID Pick ‘Em Week 6
hhpatriot04 replied to scarab527's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
Sagarin's Predictor https://predictor.gridirondigest.net/index.php 1. Brownsburg (100.37) is a 6.5-point favorite vs. Westfield (91.95) and has about a 61.79% chance of winning (2.16-point home-field advantage). 2. Crown Point (85.18) is a 7-point favorite vs. Valparaiso (80.41) and has about a 62.99% chance of winning (2.16-point home-field advantage). 3. Warsaw (76.45) is a 24-point favorite vs. Mish. Marian (50.51) and has about a 86.12% chance of winning (2.16-point home-field advantage). 4. New Haven (76.49) is a 11-point favorite vs. Columbia City (67.62) and has about a 69.99% chance of winning (2.16-point home-field advantage). 5. New Palestine (81.32) is a 2-point favorite vs. Greenfield (76.95) and has about a 54.23% chance of winning (2.16-point home-field advantage). 6. Heritage Hills (79.14) is a 5.5-point favorite vs. Gibson Southern (71.57) and has about a 60.23% chance of winning (2.16-point home-field advantage). 7. Batesville (69.39) is a 0.5-point favorite vs. Lawrenceburg (66.54) and has about a 51.32% chance of winning (2.16-point home-field advantage). 8. LaVille (57.3) vs. Knox (59.44) is a draw (2.16-point home-field advantage). I'll take Knox. 9. Centerville (53.36) is a 8-point favorite vs. Northeastern (47.46) and has about a 64.99% chance of winning (2.16-point home-field advantage). 10. Fountain Cent. (38.32) is a 0.5-point favorite vs. Seeger (39.84) and has about a 51.23% chance of winning (2.16-point home-field advantage). 11. Milan (54.55) is a 0.5-point favorite vs. Eastern Hancock (56.25) and has about a 50.88% chance of winning (2.16-point home-field advantage). If you guys will allow it, I'll use the Ratings from the previous corresponding weeks to catch up to your picks. I think it will be an interesting case study to use Sagarin all season and see where the picks end up. If you see any mistakes, please let me know so I can improve the tool! -
Mr. Football Favorites?
hhpatriot04 replied to FridayNightLights's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
At one point in the 00s, Southern Indiana (Bloomington, Vincennes and Santa Claus) touted three active NFL quarterbacks concurrently (Rexman, Cutler and Painter). -
Mr. Football Favorites?
hhpatriot04 replied to FridayNightLights's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
Any chance he had of winning it after dominating Roncalli and scrubs from Southridge was likely squandered away after an abissmal state championship game (as a QB). I think he still holds the 3A finals record for 21 or 22 tackles as a strong safety. Rumor has it that Illinois pulled his scholarship after the state game... -
Heritage Hills at Gibson Southern
hhpatriot04 replied to Titan32's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
Wasn't there still a high school in St Meinrad? -
Mr. Football Favorites?
hhpatriot04 replied to FridayNightLights's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
Needs to play FB and pad the stats with at least five touchdowns. -
Heritage Hills at Gibson Southern
hhpatriot04 replied to Titan32's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
Sagarin's Predictor Heritage Hills (79.14) is a 5.5-point favorite vs. Gibson Southern (71.57) and has about a 60.23% chance of winning (2.16-point home-field advantage). -
Heritage Hills at Gibson Southern
hhpatriot04 replied to Titan32's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
Fingers crossed, this will be the first HH game I'll have attended since 2015, I believe. -
If anything, perhaps BD and other places can look at a way to quickly open emergency exits. The funneling effect was insane. With the emergence of inexpensive Wifi locking options, a possibility would be for a designated person to have access to such a function through an app. Are disturbing the peace or incitement charges appropriate?
-
Indeed, utilizing the clock like that was ingenious!
-
Looking for Previous Sagarin Ratings
hhpatriot04 replied to hhpatriot04's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
We now have full year-end Sagarin ratings going back to the 1999 season. (for some reason the final standings from the 2020 season are not archived in Wayback Machine. So I had to get Harrell's shortened version. I'll do some more digging and if I can't find anything then go straight to the sources.) -- https://predictor.gridirondigest.net/SagarinRatings/Archives Any idea if his ratings were posted online prior t999? Did the Bloomington H-T ever post full standings with Mr. Harrell as editor? -
Looking for Previous Sagarin Ratings
hhpatriot04 replied to hhpatriot04's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
From 1998 to 2008, it was http://www.kiva.net/~jsagarin. Kiva was a Bloomington based ISP. (https://web.archive.org/web/20110927000000*/http://www.kiva.net/~jsagarin) -
I meant to comment this a while ago, but here it goes. I dealt with this when I was doing some sort of high school team sports calculations and winning percentage and win rate was needed. For the life of me, I can't recall the sport, but it must have been one with ties... maybe Team Swimming/Wrestling/Track. Basically, there are two ways to count ties -- either as half a win, or you just omit it (so basically as a loss, "not a win") From Wiki (I did look hard for this): Ties have counted as a half-win and half-loss in NFL standings since 1972; before that, ties were not counted in the standings at all. P.S. I hope all is well on the West Side after the events on Friday. It was terrifying to watch the unfiltered panic and fear.
-
Southridge @ Gibson Southern
hhpatriot04 replied to Titan32's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
Good luck Raiders. -
Southridge @ Gibson Southern
hhpatriot04 replied to Titan32's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
No love? Gibson Southern (58.62) is a 3.5-point favorite vs. Southridge (55.3) and has about a 56.81% chance of winning (0.25-point home-field advantage).