-
Posts
1,822 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
7
Content Type
Profiles
Forums
Gallery
Store
Articles
Events
Everything posted by hhpatriot04
-
Yes past performance does factor into Sagarin ratings. Strength-of-schedule, margin-of-victory, opponents' strength-of-schedule, etc...
-
37 points is huge... 14.5 points makes you get more than two TDs... bettors would love it. This early in the season, the computer ratings are not reliable. I have all the actual game results since 1999. Sagarin reaches peak accuracy after 4-5 games. Then it starts predicting over 80-percent correctly (88% correct since 1999).
-
-
Thoughts? Any differences between what teams are actually wearing this season? @Titan32 made all these SIAC helmets.
-
Predict a Matchup Tool (using Sagarin ratings) Caston is a 4.5-point favorite at North Miami with a 0.6-point HFA. Win probability: Caston 62.67%, North Miami 37.33%. Culver is a 0.5-point favorite at Triton with a 0.6-point HFA. Win probability: Culver 51.44%, Triton 48.56%. North Judson is a 37.0-point favorite at S. Central (UM) with a 0.6-point HFA. Win probability: North Judson 98.61%, S. Central (UM) 1.39%. Winamac is a 14.5-point favorite at Pioneer with a 0.6-point HFA. Win probability: Winamac 84.15%, Pioneer 15.85%.
-
Wabash River Conference Week 3
hhpatriot04 replied to Donnie Baker's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
Predict a Matchup Tool (using Sagarin ratings) Riverton Parke is a 19.0-point favorite hosting Fountain Cent. with a 0.6-point HFA. Win probability: Riverton Parke 89.91%, Fountain Cent. 10.09%. N. Vermillion is a 1.5-point favorite at Covington with a 0.6-point HFA. Win probability: N. Vermillion 54.31%, Covington 45.69%. Seeger is a 22.5-point favorite at Attica with a 0.6-point HFA. Win probability: Seeger 93.02%, Attica 6.98%. Parke Heritage is a 13.5-point favorite hosting S. Vermillion with a 0.6-point HFA. Win probability: Parke Heritage 82.55%, S. Vermillion 17.45%. -
Predict a Matchup Tool (using Sagarin ratings) W. Washington is a 35.5-point favorite hosting Mitchell with a 0.6-point HFA. Win probability: W. Washington 98.35%, Mitchell 1.65% Springs Valley vs. Paoli is predicted as a DRAW with a 0.6-point HFA. Win probability: Springs Valley 50%, Paoli 50%. Perry Central is a 13.5-point favorite at Crawford County with a 0.6-point HFA. Win probability: Perry Central 82.55%, Crawford County 17.45%. Madison is a 9.5-point favorite hosting Charlestown with a 0.6-point HFA. Win probability: Madison 74.91%, Charlestown 25.09%. Floyd Central is a 31.0-point favorite at Silver Creek with a 0.6-point HFA. Win probability: Floyd Central 97.26%, Silver Creek 2.74%. Brownstown is a 36.5-point favorite hosting New Albany with a 0.6-point HFA. Win probability: Brownstown 98.53%, New Albany 1.47%. Corydon is a 8.5-point favorite hosting North Harrison with a 0.6-point HFA. Win probability: Corydon 72.68%, North Harrison 27.32%. Scottsburg is a 11.5-point favorite hosting Salem with a 0.6-point HFA. Win probability: Scottsburg 78.98%, Salem 21.02%.
-
Southwestern Indiana Pick 'Em - Week 3
hhpatriot04 replied to hhpatriot04's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
A man who puts his b***S on the table. I like it. -
Castle gotta be feeling good in Paradise!
-
Week 3 Matchups LaVille vs. Mater Dei (-28.5) Jasper at Reitz (-14.5) Forest Park at Washington (+17.5) Mount Vernon at Gibson Southern (-31.5) North Knox at North Posey (-21.5) South Spencer at Tecumseh (-2.5) Southridge at Boonville (-16.5) Sullivan at Northview (+7.5) Vincennes at West Vigo (0) Linton at Indy Lutheran (-6.5) --- Week 2 Standings @gonzoron 12 @IUFAN 10 @Cappy 9 @JQWL 7 @SPARKS 6
-
That's a BIG line. You think Mater Dei will score 35 points?
-
How good is Mater Dei?
-
Southwestern Indiana Pick 'Em - Week 2
hhpatriot04 replied to hhpatriot04's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
Week 2 Results St. Pius at Gibson Southern (-19.5) Heritage Hills at Owensboro Apollo (+10.5) South Spencer at Eminence (-2.5) West Washington at Tell City (-14.5) Reitz vs. Tri-West (+6.5) Castle at Mater Dei (0) Central at Bosse (+7.5) Memorial at North (+17.5) Monrovia at Linton (0) Vincennes at Northview (-6.5) --- Week 2 Points gonzoron - 4 Cappy - 2 JQWL - 2 IUFAN - 3 Week 2 Standings gonzoron - 12 IUFAN - 10 Cappy - 9 JQWL - 7 SPARKS - 6 -
Computer rankings are all over the place on this one: 7, 14, 21, 35 point margin-of-victory predictions. John Harrell: LaVille vs. Mater Dei (-7) Jeff Sagarin: Ev. Mater Dei is a 34.5-point favorite vs. LaVille (no HFA) Massey: Mater Dei 28, Laville 14 Cal Preps: Mater Dei 35, LaVille 14
-
Legacy, baby! Pollsters probably think Goebel is still coaching.
-
Southwest Conference 2026
hhpatriot04 replied to JQWL's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
Predict a Matchup Tool (using Sagarin ratings) Cloverdale is a 1.0-point favorite at Owen Valley with a 0.6-point HFA. Win probability: Cloverdale 52.88%, Owen Valley 47.12%. North Daviess is a 28.0-point favorite at Eastern Greene with a 0.6-point HFA. Win probability: North Daviess 96.17%, Eastern Greene 3.83%. North Posey is a 10.0-point favorite hosting North Knox with a 0.6-point HFA. Win probability: North Posey 75.97%, North Knox 24.03%. Park Tudor is a 29.0-point favorite at N.Cent. (Farm.) with a 0.6-point HFA. Win probability: Park Tudor 96.57%, N.Cent. (Farm.) 3.43%. -
Massey: Mater Dei 28, Laville 14 - 76% Reitz 35, Jasper 21 - 74% North 38, Harrison 7 - 97% Castle 46, Bosse 6 - 100% Memorial 46, Central 6 - 100% Sagarin and Harrell are four touchdowns apart on their Mater Dei-Laville prediction.
-
Predict a Matchup Tool (using Sagarin ratings) Ev. Mater Dei is a 34.5-point favorite vs. LaVille (no HFA). Win probability: Ev. Mater Dei 98.15%, LaVille 1.85%. Ev. Reitz is a 3.0-point favorite hosting Jasper with a 0.6-point HFA. Win probability: Ev. Reitz 58.55%, Jasper 41.45%. Ev. North is a 36.0-point favorite at Ev. Harrison with a 0.6-point HFA. Win probability: Ev. North 98.44%, Ev. Harrison 1.56%. Castle is a 23.5-point favorite hosting Ev. Bosse with a 0.6-point HFA. Win probability: Castle 93.74%, Ev. Bosse 6.26%. Ev. Memorial is a 20.0-point favorite hosting Ev. Central with a 0.6-point HFA. Win probability: Ev. Memorial 90.91%, Ev. Central 9.09%.
-
Predict a Matchup Tool (using Sagarin ratings) Forest Park is a 14.5-point favorite at Washington with a 0.6-point HFA. Win probability: Forest Park 84.15%, Washington 15.85%. Gibson Southern is a 18.0-point favorite hosting Mt. Vern. (Posey) with a 0.6-point HFA. Win probability: Gibson Southern 88.82%, Mt. Vern. (Posey) 11.18%. North Posey is a 10.0-point favorite hosting North Knox with a 0.6-point HFA. Win probability: North Posey 75.97%, North Knox 24.03%. Heritage Hills is a 32.5-point favorite hosting Princeton with a 0.6-point HFA. Win probability: Heritage Hills 97.68%, Princeton 2.32%. Tecumseh is a 3.0-point favorite hosting South Spencer with a 0.6-point HFA. Win probability: Tecumseh 58.55%, South Spencer 41.45%. Boonville is a 19.0-point favorite hosting Southridge with a 0.6-point HFA. Win probability: Boonville 89.91%, Southridge 10.09%. Tell City is a 36.5-point favorite at Pike Central with a 0.6-point HFA. Win probability: Tell City 98.53%, Pike Central 1.47%.
-
Top 25 - Week 2
hhpatriot04 replied to 23andCounting's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
Gibson Southern has better wins and losses than Heritage Hills. -
Post Images of Your Team's Helmets
hhpatriot04 replied to hhpatriot04's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
-
Post Images of Your Team's Helmets
hhpatriot04 replied to hhpatriot04's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
Carroll (Flora) Clinton Central Clinton Prairie Delphi Eastern (Greentown) Sheridan Taylor Tri-Central -
Week 2 Rankings 1. (1) Memorial (2-0) 2. (4) Reitz (2-0) 3. (5) Mater Dei (2-0) 4. (6) Gibson Southern (1-1) 5. (2) Castle (1-1) 6. (7) North Posey (2-0) 7. (3) Heritage Hills (1-1) 8. (10) Boonville (2-0) 9. (9) North (0-2) 10. (HM) Forest Park (2-0) HM: (HM) Tell City (2-0), (8) Vincennes Lincoln (1-1), (NR) Jasper (1-1), (HM) Southridge (1-1)
-
Old School / Unique Offenses
hhpatriot04 replied to Salem33's topic in The Indiana High School Football Forum
St. Pius (Mo.) is running wishbone right now against Gibson Southern. https://gssn.mixlr.com/events/5222949
