6A Tournament: OFFICIAL Thread

[temptation]

Because I am am one who loves punishment:

Updated title odds:

1.  Brownsburg - 35%

2. Westfield - 25%

3. Center Grove - 20%

4. Warren Central - 8%

5. Carroll - 5%

5. Decatur Central - 4%

7. Hamilton Southeastern - 2%

8. Penn - 1%

 

[Zionsville_Superfan]

3 minutes ago, temptation said:

7. Hamilton Southeastern - 2%

You mean Fishers?

[Rodney]

Cut penn a little bit of slack 

 

You cannot defend Decatur Central being 4x more likely than them.

 

[PDB26]

8 minutes ago, temptation said:

Because I am am one who loves punishment:

Updated title odds:

1.  Brownsburg - 35%

2. Westfield - 25%

3. Center Grove - 20%

4. Warren Central - 8%

5. Carroll - 5%

5. Decatur Central - 4%

7. Hamilton Southeastern - 2%

8. Penn - 1%

 

1. Brownsburg - 42%

2. Westfield - 32%

3. Center Grove - 25%

4. Warren Central - .2%

5. Carroll - .2%

6. Decatur Central - .2%

7. HSE - .2%

8. Penn - .2%

[Rodney]

8 minutes ago, PDB26 said:

1. Brownsburg - 42%

2. Westfield - 32%

3. Center Grove - 25%

4. Warren Central - .2%

5. Carroll - .2%

6. Decatur Central - .2%

7. HSE - .2%

8. Penn - .2%

Fair

[Bash Riprock]

I think the CG and Warren game with be a tough one.  Warren should be well rested, winning their sectional by a combined score of 100-7.  

[GOLDRUSH1985]

45 minutes ago, Zionsville_Superfan said:

You mean Fishers?

Exactly , I'm quite certain HSE has a 0% percent chance as they are not even still playing . 

[temptation]

54 minutes ago, Zionsville_Superfan said:

You mean Fishers?

Oops, yep.

[PDB26]

17 minutes ago, temptation said:

Oops, yep.

Just the HSE school corporation representative. 

[BLACKGOLD2007]

1 hour ago, Rodney said:

Cut penn a little bit of slack 

 

You cannot defend Decatur Central being 4x more likely than them.

 

Rodney, like be honest man....are you ok?

I have never in my entire time here seen you post positive things about Penn as much as you have this season....well I guess in the last few weeks. 

 

[BLACKGOLD2007]

I know that Westfield beating Carmel really makes everyone pay attention, but Fishers played Westfield to a 7 point game 4 weeks ago.

What are the odds of that happening?

[BLACKGOLD2007]

This is what the predictor tool came up with

2025 Carroll (FW) is a 4.0-point favorite vs. 2025 Penn (no HFA).
Win probability: 2025 Carroll (FW) 57.62%, 2025 Penn 42.38%.

2025 Westfield is a 8.0-point favorite vs. 2025 Fishers (no HFA).
Win probability: 2025 Westfield 64.89%, 2025 Fishers 35.11%.

2025 Brownsburg is a 9.0-point favorite vs. 2025 Decatur Central (no HFA).
Win probability: 2025 Brownsburg 66.61%, 2025 Decatur Central 33.39%.

2025 Center Grove is a 7.5-point favorite vs. 2025 Warren Central (no HFA).
Win probability: 2025 Center Grove 64.01%, 2025 Warren Central 35.99%.

Overall tournament win probability- 

• 2025 Penn: 4.75%
• 2025 Carroll (FW): 9.69%
• 2025 Westfield: 27.04% (2)
• 2025 Fishers: 8.66%
• 2025 Brownsburg: 27.24% (1)
• 2025 Decatur Central: 7.62%
• 2025 Warren Central: 3.25%
• 2025 Center Grove: 11.75% (3)

[BLACKGOLD2007]

Potential Finals match-ups for Penn

2025 Brownsburg is a 13.0-point favorite vs. 2025 Penn (no HFA).
Win probability: 2025 Brownsburg 73.06%, 2025 Penn 26.94%.
(Probability of this specific final matchup occurring: 6.06%)

2025 Decatur Central is a 4.0-point favorite vs. 2025 Penn (no HFA).
Win probability: 2025 Decatur Central 57.62%, 2025 Penn 42.38%.
(Probability of this specific final matchup occurring: 2.34%)

2025 Penn is a 2.5-point favorite vs. 2025 Warren Central (no HFA).
Win probability: 2025 Penn 54.78%, 2025 Warren Central 45.22%.
(Probability of this specific final matchup occurring: 1.35%)

2025 Center Grove is a 5.0-point favorite vs. 2025 Penn (no HFA).
Win probability: 2025 Center Grove 59.48%, 2025 Penn 40.52%.
(Probability of this specific final matchup occurring: 3.46%)

 

I am actually surprised that Penn is favored in any of these games.

[Rodney]

41 minutes ago, BLACKGOLD2007 said:

Rodney, like be honest man....are you ok?

I have never in my entire time here seen you post positive things about Penn as much as you have this season....well I guess in the last few weeks. 

 

I like honesty

 

And dc is not 4x more likely to win than penn

[GOLDRUSH1985]

17 minutes ago, Rodney said:

I like honesty

 

And dc is not 4x more likely to win than penn

Only team in our cross hairs right now is Carroll . 

[23andCounting]

4 hours ago, temptation said:

Because I am am one who loves punishment:

Updated title odds:

1.  Brownsburg - 35%

2. Westfield - 25%

3. Center Grove - 20%

4. Warren Central - 8%

5. Carroll - 5%

5. Decatur Central - 4%

7. Hamilton Southeastern - 2%

8. Penn - 1%

 

1.   Brownsburg - 35%

2.  Westfield - 25%

3.  Center Grove - 15%

4.  Fishers - 8%

5.  Carroll - 7%

6.  Penn - 6%

7.  Decatur Central - 3% 

8.  Warren Central - 1%

Edited November 10, 2025 by 23andCounting

[23andCounting]

8 minutes ago, 23andCounting said:

1.   Brownsburg - 35%

2.  Westfield - 25%

3.  Center Grove - 15%

4.  Fishers - 8%

5.  Carroll - 7%

6.  Penn - 6%

7.  Decatur Central - 3% 

8.  Warren Central - 1%

Correction: Decatur Central 1% and Westfield 27 %

One percent is being generous to DC and WC. Neither of those teams have a chance. 

[temptation]

2 minutes ago, 23andCounting said:

Correction: Decatur Central 1% and Westfield 27 %

One percent is being generous to DC and WC. Neither of those teams have a chance. 

If we’re being real, no one beyond the top three does.

[23andCounting]

20 minutes ago, temptation said:

If we’re being real, no one beyond the top three does.

Agree for the most part, maybe a couple of long shots. 

[23andCounting]

Warren Central is 0-4 versus the top four teams on their schedule losing by an average of 19 points. They're out of contention. 

[GOLDRUSH1985]

37 minutes ago, temptation said:

If we’re being real, no one beyond the top three does.

Well , you had Crown Point in the Northern Semistate . You had Carmel winning it all . Neither team is still playing , so anything can happen . 

[GOLDRUSH1985]

25 minutes ago, 23andCounting said:

Agree for the most part, maybe a couple of long shots. 

I will be LMFAO if DC knocks off BB and Fishers knocks off Westfield . It can happen .I've seen some weird things happen in games played outside in mid to late November . I once seen the ground tackle a player and it cost that players team the game . Sorry 23 , I'll never forget it . 

[23andCounting]

29 minutes ago, GOLDRUSH1985 said:

I will be LMFAO if DC knocks off BB and Fishers knocks off Westfield . It can happen .I've seen some weird things happen in games played outside in mid to late November . I once seen the ground tackle a player and it cost that players team the game . Sorry 23 , I'll never forget it . 

Yeah, I'll never forget it either :(. I think it happened right in front of your stands. 

Agree, Brownsburg can be beaten. I just think it's unlikely. It won't be by DC. I'm thinking Center Grove or Westfield.

[Rodney]

7 hours ago, GOLDRUSH1985 said:

Well , you had Crown Point in the Northern Semistate . 

lol some of us tried to tell everyone 🤷‍♂️

7 hours ago, GOLDRUSH1985 said:

I will be LMFAO if DC knocks off BB and Fishers knocks off Westfield . 

i think DC coming out and knocking off BB would be awesome, though honestly if they could just make a game out of it then they should be happy MORAL VICTORY TEMP YOU'LL ONLY SEE IT ONCE HERE

fishers v brownsburg in theory should be closer but at this point I'm expecting Westfield to handle business

[temptation]

5 hours ago, Rodney said:

lol some of us tried to tell everyone 🤷‍♂️

i think DC coming out and knocking off BB would be awesome, though honestly if they could just make a game out of it then they should be happy MORAL VICTORY TEMP YOU'LL ONLY SEE IT ONCE HERE

fishers v brownsburg in theory should be closer but at this point I'm expecting Westfield to handle business

Agree on both accounts.  DC is playing with the definition of house money Friday night.